Loading...
Watch PGR on Sky Sports Racing Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Howtimeflysb 2yREP 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1113 W186 P613 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 41 | 53 (2) | 71 (1) | 71 (1) | 56 (2) | 51 (5) | 56 (1) | 40 (4) | 20 (5) | 56 (4) | 55 (3) | 75 | 44 | 18 | 53 | 56 | 50 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Alnwick Queenb 3yREP 15 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 65 | 36 (1) | 26 (3) | 36 (1) | 49 (3) | 49 (3) | 48 (3) | 43 (5) | 23 (2) | 42 (6) | - | 30 | 32 | 23 | 16 | 47 | 44 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Left Unreadb 1yREP 14 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 45 (4) | 38 (6) | 46 (4) | 51 (4) | 27 (4) | 40 (6) | 15 | 15 | 23 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Modern Worldd 2yREP 13 | S Caile — 16% R186 W30 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 41 | 41 (4) | 41 (4) | 66 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 48 | 33 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Elemore Poppyb 3yREP 25 | C L Hardy — 19% R225 W42 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 62 | 27 (6) | 27 (6) | 39 (5) | 32 (5) | 41 (6) | 47 (5) | 71 (6) | 54 (2) | 79 (4) | - | 11 | 24 | - | 12 | 40 | 32 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Emmas Teddyb 2yREP 5 | J T Edgar — 18% R494 W88 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 41 (5) | 32 (6) | 56 (2) | 44 (5) | 48 (3) | 39 (5) | 59 (2) | 47 (5) | 68 (1) | 44 (5) | 25 | 32 | 37 | 21 | 46 | 47 | 3 | 9/4F | - | |
Drawn in one of the best-performing traps at Newcastle A7 — trap 3 wins 21.21% from 363 runs at this grade, one of the highest figures among the six draws. A Fader with decent early pace (56) who should race prominently and use the home straight to her advantage. Trainer A Harrison operates at 30% and clearly knows this track well. Average performance of 47 is modest, but at A7 grade on a fair track, the draw advantage and pace profile carry genuine analytical weight. Recent form of 30, 36, 50 shows she is rebuilding after a difficult patch, with the 50-rated run two starts ago suggesting her form is not as bad as the last run suggests. Seven course and distance attempts without a win is worth noting, but the model places considerable weight on the combination of trap, pace profile, and trainer confidence.
Danger: Best course and distance form in the race with a 30% strike rate here, despite the worst structural trap draw.
Good pace profile and trainer but recent form has collapsed. Difficult to support at current level.
Very limited experience. The one good run is encouraging but cannot be relied upon.
Structurally disadvantaged draw and no course and distance wins from 10 attempts. Hard to fancy.
Best structural trap but Closer profile and recent form concern. Each-way possibility at a price.
Trap 1 and 2 are structurally the worst draws at Newcastle A7 from 2,067 runs. Traps 3, 4 and 6 all win around 21%. Composite rank 1 wins only 19.94% — A7 grade is wide open.
T1:16.51% T2:15.19% T3:21.21% T4:21.04% T5:16.3% T6:21.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Howtimeflys | 38 | 62 | Closer |
2Alnwick Queen | 67 | 15 | Fader |
3Left Unread | 56 | 38 | Fader |
4Modern World | 38 | 86 | Closer |
5Elemore Poppy | 61 | 20 | Fader |
6Emmas Teddy | 44 | 67 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howtimeflys | — | 0.630 | — |
| 2 | Alnwick Queen | 0.604 | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Left Unread | 0.604 | 0.622 | — |
| 4 | Modern World | — | 0.627 | 0.557 |
| 5 | Elemore Poppy | — | 0.624 | — |
| 6 | Emmas Teddy | — | 0.622 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.