#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Brickkiln Bugsyd 4yREP 25 | J Walton — 13% R67 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | 37 | 33 (3) | 39 (3) | 39 (4) | 50 (1) | 18 (5) | 38 (3) | 15 (6) | 21 (6) | 22 (6) | 24 (6) | 25 | 21 | - | 14 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Vinny Chaseb 1yREP 15 | J T Edgar — 18% R494 W88 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 22 | 54 (2) | 24 (5) | 13 (6) | 50 (3) | 34 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 10 | - | 13 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 10/11F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bramble Nerod 3yREP 3 | C L Hardy — 19% R225 W42 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 52 (3) | 62 (3) | 53 (3) | 55 (4) | 53 (3) | 70 (1) | 38 (5) | 72 (1) | 55 (3) | 58 (3) | 21 | 24 | - | 19 | 56 | 43 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Wrightyd 2yREP 18 | A Harrison — 21% R543 W112 P326 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 61 | 18 (3) | 34 (1) | 38 (6) | 52 (4) | 59 (2) | 22 (5) | 31 (5) | 21 (5) | 36 (1) | 42 (5) | 26 | 20 | - | 9 | 35 | 39 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bramble Catb 3yREP 8 | C L Hardy — 19% R225 W42 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 89 | 58 | 78 (1) | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 57 (2) | 61 (3) | 70 (2) | 59 (2) | 56 (3) | 28 (3) | 21 (6) | - | 26 | - | 50 | 62 | 69 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Patterdale Messid 4yREP 15 | D Blackbird — 17% R1113 W186 P613 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 86 | 50 | 48 (5) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | 62 (2) | 58 (5) | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 1 | 26 | - | 27 | 62 | 64 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
This is the class of the field on every meaningful measure. The highest speed rating in the race by a comfortable margin — and indeed one of the highest speed figures on the whole card today. Highest composite score in the race, highest average performance alongside Patterdale Messi, and eight course and distance runs here with 2 wins at a 25% strike rate. Recent form of 78 and 72 shows she is very much in form and producing performances well above what the rest of this field can manage. Drawn in trap 5, which is the best-performing box at Newcastle 480m at 25.0% across all grades. A Closer who will do her best work late, but on the long home straight she will be travelling well within herself when others are emptying. The handicap weights cannot disguise the quality gap. Trainer C L Hardy at 14%. Hard to beat.
Danger: Outstanding course and distance form (30% win rate from 10 runs) and second-best speed. Only the draw separates these two.
Handicap runner with modest ability. Will set pace but unlikely to feature at the finish.
Inconsistent form and low speed rating. Better than the numbers suggest on a good day but hard to trust.
Honest course and distance form. Possible each-way interest if the top two are caught by their handicap weights.
Strong trainer and improving form. The most interesting of the lower-rated runners in this handicap.
Trap 5 is the dominant draw at Newcastle 480m at 25.0%. The long home straight suits Closer profiles. Handicap grade: equalising factor but class tends to tell at this course.
T5:25.0% best T6:19.5% worst
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Brickkiln Bugsy | 32 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Vinny Chase | 23 | 40 | Fader |
3Bramble Nero | — | — | No data |
4Alnwick Wrighty | 56 | 29 | Fader |
5Bramble Cat | 52 | 77 | Closer |
6Patterdale Messi | 50 | 90 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickkiln Bugsy | 0.631 | 0.643 |
| 2 | Vinny Chase | — | 0.646 |
| 3 | Bramble Nero | — | 0.630 |
| 4 | Alnwick Wrighty | 0.611 | 0.627 |
| 5 | Bramble Cat | 0.606 | 0.613 |
| 6 | Patterdale Messi | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.