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The Beglan & Davies Pre-Elopement Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trapstyle Happyb 2yREP 34 | J M Liles — 19% R419 W80 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 40 (2) | 45 (4) | 39 (2) | 41 (1) | 38 (2) | 30 (4) | 31 (3) | 33 (3) | 36 (2) | - | 63 | 46 | - | - | 38 | 41 | 6 | 9/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Coppice Ariesd 2yREP 14 | C L Conley — 23% R56 W13 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 41 (4) | 61 (1) | 44 (4) | 32 (2) | 38 (5) | 45 (5) | 50 (4) | 36 (5) | 61 (2) | 45 (5) | 25 | 23 | - | 23 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bridgestreet Alib 2yREP 15 | K J Crocker — 16% R140 W22 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 60 (1) | 55 (3) | 60 (3) | 40 (6) | 58 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 90 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (3) | 41 | 31 | - | 50 | 52 | 46 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Deckyd 2yREP 7 | A M Kibble — 24% R193 W47 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 41 (3) | 43 (4) | 38 (6) | 40 (5) | 68 (3) | 81 (1) | 55 (3) | 40 (5) | 44 | 23 | - | 28 | 52 | 49 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flitwick Triggerd 2yREP 34 | P T Henman — 19% R36 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 48 (5) | 61 (3) | 38 (6) | 47 (5) | 48 (2) | 77 (4) | 60 (1) | 75 (4) | 55 (1) | - | 16 | 30 | - | 16 | 54 | 34 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Disembarkd 2yREP 28 | J A Knape — 21% R39 W8 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 45 (4) | 63 (5) | 46 (6) | 33 (6) | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 37 (1) | 20 (6) | 30 (5) | 32 (4) | 23 | 25 | - | 31 | 46 | 40 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
Leads the field on composite score and speed rating, and is trained by the highest-performing handler in this race with a 28% strike rate — a meaningful edge at B2 class. Has one win from six at Towcester 460m, a moderate course record, but recent form includes a win at B2 grade confirming he can operate at this class. The draw in trap 4 is a structural negative — just 15.4% winners from 130 runs at this distance — and the composite advantage over Bridgestreet Ali is narrow at only three points. The model picks him primarily on speed leadership and trainer quality, and those two factors together justify the selection despite the draw concern.
Best trap plus perfect C&D record. Narrowly below on composite but the structural case is strong. Main danger.
Reasonable draw but metrics too weak across the board to be a factor.
Mid-field on most metrics. Course form is workable but not enough to threaten.
Best performance figure but form came at the wrong trips. Distance suitability undermines the headline number.
Good C&D record but worst draw at this distance and low suitability metrics put her behind the front two.
Trap 3 dominant at Towcester 460m from 788 runs — Bridgestreet Ali holds best structural position. Ballymac Decky leads on composite and speed but drawn below-average trap 4. Narrow composite gap makes this a contested pick.
T1:21.6% T2:19.4% T3:24.6% T4:15.4% T5:15.9% T6:9.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trapstyle Happy | — | — | No data |
2Coppice Aries | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Bridgestreet Ali | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Ballymac Decky | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Flitwick Trigger | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Disembark | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 270m | 280m | 325m | 400m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapstyle Happy | — | 0.600 | 0.593 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Coppice Aries | 0.595 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.595 | 0.615 | — | — |
| 3 | Bridgestreet Ali | — | 0.614 | — | 0.572 | — | — | 0.595 | — | 0.603 | 0.553 |
| 4 | Ballymac Decky | — | — | — | — | — | 0.613 | 0.597 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Flitwick Trigger | — | — | — | — | 0.628 | — | 0.596 | — | 0.598 | — |
| 6 | Disembark | — | 0.605 | — | — | — | — | 0.593 | 0.618 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.