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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Swift Deliciousb 4y 36 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W75 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 43 | 47 (2) | 42 (3) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 71 (2) | 69 (2) | 58 (5) | 61 (4) | 43 (4) | 63 (4) | 28 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 25 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballyea Hoped 2y 25 | K J Crocker — 16% R140 W22 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 44 (4) | 46 (3) | 47 (3) | 60 (1) | 37 (4) | 51 (2) | 56 (5) | 77 (2) | 56 (5) | 48 (3) | 22 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 22 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Unknown Captaind 4y 45 | D D Porter — 17% R533 W93 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 22 | 36 (4) | 35 (5) | 60 (6) | 45 (4) | 72 (4) | 72 (3) | 37 (6) | 71 (3) | 94 (1) | 60 (1) | 31 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 53 | 22 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moredramakirstieb 3yN/R 35 | A Welch — 13% R319 W41 P153 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 35 (5) | 60 (1) | 61 (5) | 45 (3) | 37 (6) | 39 (6) | 61 (1) | 44 (2) | 46 (5) | 58 (2) | 32 | 25 | - | - | 48 | 29 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hitthelids Kaleyb 3y 25 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W75 P235 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 46 (3) | 62 (1) | 48 (4) | 59 (2) | 44 (4) | 53 (3) | 76 (3) | 62 (5) | 47 (5) | 61 (2) | 39 | 29 | - | - | 54 | 38 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
Has the dominant speed rating in this field at 68 — a substantial lead over the second-best in race at 54 — and the highest h3 composite score at 58.85. One win from five at Towcester 712m provides genuine staying course form, and form figures in the low 70s at this trip show he handles the distance. Trap 4 produces 21.8% winners at Towcester 712m from 133 runs — near the average and a workable position. The concerns are real: the overall composite score of only 22 is among the lowest in the field, and the suitability metrics across track, distance, and trap are all below 32. This is a speculative selection driven by speed dominance and h3 rating, with the lack of broader suitability keeping confidence firmly at the lower end.
Experience at the trip but zero wins from five and weak trap draw. Hard to back with confidence.
Best draw in the race but distance suitability near-zero is damning at this specialist trip length.
Distance suitability zero plus weak trap draw plus no course form — three negatives stacking up.
Composite and performance leader but distance suitability zero and worst trap. A non-stayer on the numbers.
Three of five runners have distance suitability of zero — 712m is a specialist trip. Unknown Captain leads on speed and h3 with staying form, but composite only 22. Trap 3 dominant at this distance but Ballyea Hope has weak composite. Hitthelids Kaley highest composite but distance suitability zero.
T1:21.0% T2:15.3% T3:27.1% T4:21.8% T5:11.7% T6:11.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Swift Delicious | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballyea Hope | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Unknown Captain | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Moredramakirstie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Hitthelids Kaley | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 712m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (712m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Swift Delicious | 0.610 | 0.632 |
| 3 | Ballyea Hope | 0.609 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Unknown Captain | 0.613 | 0.625 |
| 6 | Hitthelids Kaley | 0.604 | 0.628 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.