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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Punkrock Misspeab 3yN/R 25 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 54 (4) | 34 (6) | 37 (5) | 72 (1) | 38 (5) | 59 (3) | 38 (5) | 40 (6) | 50 (4) | 59 (2) | 58 | 47 | 37 | 43 | 46 | 47 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Westwood Gemb 1y 7 | P M Donovan — 18% R130 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 49 | 55 (2) | 55 (2) | 43 (4) | 53 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 77 | 61 | - | 40 | - | 21 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Aviendhab 2y 17 | M J Richards — 16% R166 W27 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 39 (6) | 63 (3) | 65 (2) | 49 (4) | 38 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 42 | - | 37 | 52 | 46 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 5 | ▶ Forever Tenderb 2y 5 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 29 | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 62 (2) | 50 (3) | 53 (4) | 47 (3) | 52 (5) | 67 (4) | 55 (1) | - | 65 | 64 | - | 74 | 58 | 61 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Baftad 2y 6 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 81 (1) | 66 (5) | 74 (1) | 72 (6) | 36 (1) | 54 (6) | 54 (3) | 72 (5) | 71 (3) | - | 27 | 30 | 23 | 28 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 10/3 | |
The model's selection and the dog with the strongest individual profile in this race. Her track suitability of 64 and distance suitability of 74 both confirm genuine affinity for Hove's 500-metre trip, and a trap suitability of 65 from box 5 shows she fires consistently from this position. The trainer is R P Rees, who returns a 34% national win rate — the strongest handler on the card. She won from A6 grade last time out, leading through the wide straights and never being headed, and today she steps up to A5 to face the best of this morning's field. As a pure Closer she needs room to deliver her finish, and Hove's long home straight gives her that platform. Trap 5 is a neutral structural position, so the pick is built on individual merit rather than aggregate trap bias — but the individual merit is clear.
Dominant structural draw with strong individual confirmation — the most dangerous challenger to the pick.
Decent form profile let down by the weakest structural draw in the race — hard to make the case from trap 6.
Structurally well-drawn but declining form and no closing pace at a galloping track — likely to fade in the home straight.
No graded form data — genuinely unknown quantity stepping into graded racing. Treat with caution.
At Hove 500m A5, trap 1 is the strongest structural draw at 24.7% from 259 runs, with trap 3 also dominant at 22.9% from 205 runs. Trap 6 at 15.7% sits towards the weaker end. Rating separation is low at just 2.8 percentage points between rank 1 and rank 3, meaning structural trap position and individual suitability carry elevated weight.
T1:24.7% T2:19.5% T3:22.9% T4:19.7% T5:17.7% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Punkrock Misspea | 40 | 84 | Closer |
2Westwood Gem | 61 | 0 | Fader |
3Aviendha | 65 | 0 | Fader |
5Forever Tender | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Droopys Bafta | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.