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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burrows Dilemmad 2yN/R 16 | J J Heath — 21% R366 W77 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 77 (1) | 48 (4) | 56 (4) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 72 | 83 | - | 60 | 56 | 61 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Straight Shotd 3y 13 | D D Knight — 18% R235 W43 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 76 (2) | 64 (4) | 66 (3) | 79 (1) | 42 (5) | 75 (2) | 67 (2) | 64 (4) | 46 (5) | 50 (4) | 39 | 34 | 23 | 32 | 57 | 49 | 3 | 11/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gin For Lisab 2y 25 | G S Byford — 22% R233 W52 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 56 | 52 (5) | 61 (2) | 44 (6) | 45 (5) | 63 (3) | 45 (4) | 79 (1) | 47 (5) | 74 (2) | 77 (1) | 57 | 60 | 28 | 42 | 61 | 58 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Slippy Queenb 4y 35 | S Maplesden — 17% R274 W47 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 53 (6) | 56 (5) | 62 (3) | 71 (4) | 61 (4) | 58 (5) | 76 (2) | 82 (1) | 68 (2) | 63 (2) | 48 | 51 | 33 | 48 | 70 | 63 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Princed 3y 7 | J J Heath — 21% R366 W77 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 51 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 83 (3) | 44 (6) | 58 (3) | 46 (4) | 40 (5) | - | 32 | 21 | 31 | 29 | 62 | 50 | 4 | 8/1 | |
The model's selection, and her profile presents both a compelling case and a genuine analytical puzzle. Her longer-term average performance of 70 is the highest in this field by a meaningful margin, and trap 4 is the best structural draw at A3 grade here — producing 24.2% winners from 182 runs. Last time out she ran on gamely from midfield to finish second, demonstrating the form is there when things go right. The concern lies in the two most recent raw scores which appear significantly lower, though both runs at this level and class involved racing trouble. Her suitability across track, distance, and trap is solid throughout. A Fader profile at a galloping 500-metre track does carry a pace-fade risk in the home straight, but the class edge is substantial if the engine is firing.
Strongly improving form in a dominant trap — the horse to beat if the prediction fails to fire.
Good structural draw but declining form and a Fader profile on a galloping track — hard to see her lasting home.
Deeply proven course performer badly hampered last time — worth watching but faces an uphill structural task from trap 1.
Won from a lower grade last time but faces tougher opposition stepping up — limited individual course form.
At Hove 500m A3, traps 2, 3, and 4 all produce above-average win rates from large samples. Trap 4 leads narrowly at 24.2% from 182 runs. The prediction model at this grade has only 4.6 percentage points separating rank 1 from rank 3 — borderline low separation — meaning structural trap position and recent form trajectory matter as much as raw performance ratings.
T1:17.4% T2:23.1% T3:22.9% T4:24.2% T5:13.0% T6:20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Burrows Dilemma | 44 | 80 | Closer |
2Straight Shot | 48 | 65 | Closer |
3Gin For Lisa | 58 | 12 | Fader |
4Slippy Queen | 57 | 34 | Fader |
6Grouchos Prince | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.