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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Knockane Starb 1yN/R 11 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 51 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | 28 | - | 23 | 51 | 40 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Spotliteb 4y 26 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 39 | 38 (5) | 58 (2) | 67 (1) | 51 (4) | 36 (6) | 53 (2) | 64 (2) | 42 (4) | 45 (5) | 43 (5) | 34 | 39 | 46 | 36 | 54 | 48 | 2 | 1/2F | |
| 3 | ▶ Seomra Baxterd 5y 32 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 39 | 30 (6) | 46 (5) | 54 (4) | 67 (4) | 47 (1) | 48 (4) | 51 (3) | 64 (4) | 52 (4) | - | 49 | 41 | 26 | 40 | 56 | 52 | 1 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Punk Rock Picardd 3yN/R 14 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 63 | 49 (3) | 52 (3) | 46 (5) | 37 (6) | 53 (4) | 68 (1) | 43 (5) | 61 (1) | 39 (5) | 49 (2) | 39 | 25 | - | 29 | 48 | 42 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Annadown Belleb 3y 16 | A Herbert — 15% R67 W10 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 44 (4) | 54 (4) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 49 (3) | 50 (2) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 46 (5) | 31 | 35 | 26 | 36 | 53 | 46 | 3 | 13/8 | |
The model's selection on the basis of the highest performance rating in this field and a dominant structural position. Trap 3 produces 20.7% winners at Hove 500m A6 from 217 runs — above the 20% threshold — and a trap suitability of 49 shows personal competence from this box. As an extreme Closer she is perfectly suited to Hove's galloping 500-metre circuit, where late-running types consistently outperform their counterparts elsewhere. Her recent form includes a 71 performance across her last several starts, and she won a track trial from here. The honest analytical concern is the trainer's record — a 10% national win rate is significantly below the field average — though individual form and structural position remain the primary factors. If she gets a clean run to the final bend, the finishing kick could prove decisive.
Dominant draw, best trainer on the card, and solid recent form — a strong danger who could easily reverse the model's predicted order.
Strongly improving form but a Fader profile on a galloping track stepping up two grades — a significant ask.
Moments of quality but inconsistency across the wider form — hard to trust at the wide draw in a competitive race.
Dominant trap negated by very poor individual performance from box 1 — the aggregate and individual data point in opposite directions.
At Hove 500m A6, the inside three traps all produce dominant win rates from large samples, while trap 5 is formally dead at 12.9% from 132 runs. The pick is in the dominant trap 3 position with the highest performance rating in the field, but the trainer returns only 10% nationally — a meaningful analytical flag at this class level.
T1:22.4% T2:21.0% T3:20.7% T4:16.4% T5:12.9% T6:19.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Knockane Star | 65 | 0 | Fader |
2Droopys Spotlite | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Seomra Baxter | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Punk Rock Picard | 77 | 0 | Fader |
6Annadown Belle | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.