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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Links Fantasyd 3y 36 | A J Taylor — 13% R336 W44 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 33 (4) | 42 (3) | 57 (1) | 53 (3) | 59 (1) | 33 (6) | 53 (4) | 39 (4) | 58 (3) | 52 (3) | 42 | 64 | 34 | 29 | 49 | 48 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Daring Duchessb 2y 19 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 61 (1) | 49 (2) | 57 (1) | 31 (5) | 51 (2) | 49 (1) | 43 (2) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 39 | 38 | - | 48 | 44 | 43 | 5 | 11/4JF | |
| 3 | ▶ Rattytattyb 4y 44 | M J Richards — 16% R160 W25 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 29 (5) | 36 (5) | 42 (5) | 45 (3) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 27 (2) | 39 (6) | 66 (5) | - | 53 | 31 | 18 | 40 | 45 | 44 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Airlie Isabellab 2y 25 | A Herbert — 15% R65 W10 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 60 | 37 (4) | 41 (4) | 37 (5) | 63 (4) | 37 (5) | 51 (1) | 48 (1) | 43 (2) | 32 (5) | 38 (4) | 49 | 49 | - | 38 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 11/4JF | |
| 5 | ▶ Courancove Wildd 2y 16 | M J Richards — 16% R160 W25 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 36 | 31 (5) | 39 (4) | 37 (4) | 56 (3) | 61 (1) | 47 (2) | 46 (2) | 38 (6) | 54 (4) | 40 (5) | 53 | 54 | 30 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 1 | 10/3 | |
The model's selection on the strength of the best speed rating in the field and a sound overall performance profile. Trap 5 is a neutral structural draw here at 19%, which means the pick is built on individual merit rather than structural tailwind. Track and distance suitability are both solid at 54 and 48, and a trap suitability of 53 from box 5 confirms personal competence from this position. Three runs back she posted 71 — a genuinely strong performance at A7 level — and ran second last time having been baulked at the final bend, which explained the result rather than reflecting true ability. As an extreme Closer she is ideally suited to Hove's galloping 500-metre circuit where late-running types consistently get their head in front. The concern is the inconsistency across the wider form profile — from 17 to 71 and back — making her hard to completely trust.
Dominant draw and strong course affinity — the most structurally favoured runner in the race despite a modest trainer record.
Placed last time but inconsistent form and the weakest structural draw in the race make him hard to back.
Declining form and a Fader profile on a track where closers dominate — likely to weaken from the third bend.
Won last time from an easier grade, and in a dominant draw — but a Fader profile and declining form make her vulnerable to the Closers in this field.
At Hove 500m A7, composite rank separation is essentially flat — rank 1 produces 19.4% vs rank 2 at 22.5% (rank 2 outperforms rank 1). This is a low-separation race where trap bias and individual suitability drive the analysis. Traps 1 and 2 are dominant from sizeable samples, while trap 3 is the weakest occupied structural position at 17.6%.
T1:23.4% T2:20.8% T3:17.6% T4:18.0% T5:19.0% T6:21.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Links Fantasy | 45 | 82 | Closer |
2Daring Duchess | 60 | 14 | Fader |
3Rattytatty | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Airlie Isabella | 66 | 0 | Fader |
5Courancove Wild | 16 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.