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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Indian Nightd 3y 3 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 41 (3) | 37 (5) | 20 (6) | 33 (6) | 54 (4) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 22 (1) | 16 (2) | - | 30 | 30 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 2 | 11/10 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Sheadogue Babsb 4y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | - | 33 (5) | 44 (4) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 49 (3) | 36 (5) | 36 (4) | 15 (6) | 15 (5) | 14 (6) | 21 | 15 | 32 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Belfast Bornb 2y 15 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 33 (1) | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 18 (1) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | 31 (3) | 29 (1) | - | 2 | 28 | - | 28 | 29 | 23 | 5 | 10/11F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Pure Palmyrab 3y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 34 (4) | 34 (4) | 26 (6) | 31 (6) | 21 (6) | 52 (2) | 38 (5) | 47 (2) | 45 (3) | 34 (6) | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 27 | 4 | 12/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Pure Paisleighb 3y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 30 (5) | 46 (5) | 30 (3) | 49 (5) | 44 (3) | 51 (3) | 41 (2) | 35 (4) | 36 (5) | - | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
Sheadogue Babs has the standout speed rating at 60 — 11 points clear of the next best in the field, which constitutes a class override at D6 level. However, recent form is a significant concern: 4th, 6th, 5th, 6th, 5th from the last five runs at D5/D6 level with no win or place. The best of those was 17.27 for 6th in D5 ('MidToWide,ClrRun') — beaten 1.5L with a clear run, which suggests the speed simply wasn't there on the day. Suitability is modest — track 15, distance 17, trap 21, class 32 — with the class suit being the relative strength. No pace data (EP, CS, paceProfile all null) means we can't assess her structural fit for 260m, though D5 and D6 form is all at 260m so she knows the trip. The pick is based on the class override principle: speed 60 in a field averaging 49 is an 11-point gap that should eventually assert itself, even with poor recent form. At Speculative confidence because the form doesn't back up the ratings.
DANGER: Fastest recent time (16.95) with D5 winning form, but T2 is the worst draw in D6 260m and the Fader label (even if questionable) creates uncertainty. The main threat to the pick on raw ability.
In the best trap (T4, 21.51%) with a competitive 16.89 trial time, but too few data points and no pace profile to back with confidence. Could surprise from the favoured draw.
Field's weakest speed (48) with three 6th-place finishes from five runs and repeated slow starts. Very little in her favour here.
Consistently competitive for minor places (three 3rds from five) but lacks the speed or finishing gear to win. The honest type who frames races without winning them.
No standout trap signal in this 5-runner race (no T1 or T4 dog). T3 at 17.95% and T6 at 18.52% are the best positions occupied. Speed 60 vs field average ~49 is a class override candidate despite poor form.
T1:19.18% T2:14.81% T3:17.95% T4:21.51% T5:15.63% T6:18.52%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.