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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bells Babeb 2y 15 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 36 | 67 (2) | 54 (4) | 85 (1) | 23 (1) | 71 (2) | 67 (2) | 24 (4) | 95 (2) | 66 (3) | 84 (1) | 61 | 41 | 25 | 43 | 64 | 58 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mustang Darwind 3y 16 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 82 (1) | 31 (6) | 82 (1) | 25 (5) | 46 (6) | 80 (1) | 77 (2) | 70 (2) | 37 (1) | 89 (1) | 49 | 49 | 31 | 46 | 56 | 53 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Trionas Tangleb 4y 13 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 28 | 47 (5) | 50 (2) | 36 (3) | 53 (5) | 52 (3) | 62 (3) | 52 (2) | 61 (4) | 70 (3) | - | 69 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 61 | 56 | 2 | 2/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Cara Novab 2yN/R 15 | M J May — 13% R40 W5 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 28 (6) | 38 (1) | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 31 (3) | 34 (1) | 33 (1) | 23 (4) | - | - | 2 | 17 | - | - | 31 | 20 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Good Streakd 4y 34 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 60 | 56 (3) | 82 (1) | 60 (4) | 65 (4) | 73 (3) | 46 (6) | 16 (3) | 55 (5) | 63 (5) | 83 (1) | 41 | 49 | 61 | 38 | 60 | 52 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Brave Billyd 3y 18 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 77 (1) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 65 (3) | 45 | 24 | 54 | 28 | 61 | 49 | 3 | 9/4 | |
Mustang Darwin is in devastating form — won 4 of his last 5 starts across A5 460m (28.88), D3 260m (16.36), OR 460m (29.39), and D4 260m (16.38). The sole non-win was a narrow 2nd in A4 460m (29.32, beaten HD) where he 'QAw,LedToNrLn,Rls' — led to near the line and only just got caught. That's a form profile of 1st→1st→1st→1st→2nd which is elite consistency across distances and grades. All-Rounder profile (EP 53, CS 43, PC 91) is ideal for Valley 460m — enough early pace to be prominent through the tight early bends, and the 91 pace consistency means no surprises. Speed 49 is modest on paper but the times tell the real story — 28.88 and 29.32 at A4/A5 level are competitive. Trainer J A Danahar at 14% is low-tier, but when a dog is winning 4 from 5, the trainer signal is irrelevant. Suitability is the best in the field — track 49, distance 46, trap 49, class 31 — with the track and trap scores confirming deep Valley experience.
DANGER: Fastest recent time in the field (28.78) with CS 71 and improving form trajectory (three consecutive close 3rds). The Closer profile limits her at tight Valley, but the raw ability is undeniable.
DANGER: T6 is the dominant trap (26.22%) with the field's best speed (57) and pace consistency (94). All-Rounder profile suits Valley 460m perfectly. The main threat to Darwin — if any dog can deny the pick, it's this one from the golden draw.
A3 class dropper with 28.84 win, but extreme Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) faces a structural challenge at tight Valley 460m. The class is there but she needs trouble ahead to deploy it.
Can be confidently opposed. Distance suitability 0, no 460m form, all recent races at 260m sprint. The structural mismatch is severe regardless of the eye-catching 100 speed rating.
High ceiling (A3 winner in 28.90) but a low floor (CS 25 Fader with erratic form). Could lead wire-to-wire or fade completely — too unreliable to pick with confidence.
T6 dominates A4 460m with 26.22% from 1,014 runs — far ahead of any other trap. But the best dog in this race is on T2. Composite R1 wins 24.1% confirming top-rated dogs convert well.
T1:19.05% T2:17.58% T3:13.4% T4:13.29% T5:16.22% T6:26.22%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bells Babe | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Mustang Darwin | 53 | 43 | All-Rounder |
3Trionas Tangle | 34 | 71 | Closer |
4Cara Nova | — | — | No data |
5Good Streak | 58 | 25 | Fader |
6Brave Billy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.