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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Outback Fidod 5y 37 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 56 | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 60 (2) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 38 (6) | 68 (2) | 64 (2) | 59 (2) | 55 (4) | 53 | 45 | 43 | 45 | 57 | 53 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Dollyb 3y 35 | A G Rawlings — 20% R228 W46 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 48 (5) | 54 (3) | 38 (5) | 44 (5) | 47 (5) | 51 (4) | 55 (4) | 54 (4) | 46 (6) | 55 (4) | 3 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 55 | 35 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Crannon Ladyb 3y 13 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 76 (5) | 19 (1) | 63 (3) | 53 (2) | 70 (4) | 48 (1) | 56 (4) | 31 (4) | 21 (1) | - | 35 | 36 | - | 23 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Quivers Rexd 3y 15 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 74 (1) | 55 (3) | 74 (1) | 34 (6) | 52 (4) | 63 (5) | 28 (3) | 53 (5) | 37 (6) | 79 (4) | 31 | 29 | 37 | 29 | 51 | 42 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Backroundd 2y 18 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 56 | 41 (6) | 76 (1) | 37 (6) | 79 (1) | 79 (1) | 60 (2) | 75 (1) | 44 (4) | 67 (2) | - | 57 | 53 | 51 | 53 | 67 | 62 | 1 | 1/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Beechview Baled 3y 15 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 43 (4) | 69 (2) | 51 (2) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 45 (6) | 55 (3) | 46 (5) | 43 | 34 | 41 | 30 | 56 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | |
The strongest all-round selection on the card. Joint-best speed (53) with the best suitability profile in the field: track 53, distance 53, trap 57, class 51 — every dimension is above 50 which is rare and confirms he's proven across all Valley 460m conditions. His pace data says Fader (EP 55, CS 34) but his race comments tell a more nuanced story: won trial in 28.75 by 9.25 lengths with 'QAw', won A5 (29.28 QAw,ALed,Wide), and ran 2nd at A5 (29.16 EP,Wide,LedToNrLn) — leading to near the line before being caught. That's not a pure Fader pattern but rather a front-runner who occasionally gets caught late. His pace consistency of 87 means he reliably breaks fast and leads. Drawn in T5 which wins 22.13% from 122 runs — the second-best trap. The trial win by 9.25 lengths suggests massive confidence from trainer P T Maynard. He's the most complete runner here: speed, suitability, EP, trap position, and form all align.
DANGER: Best trap draw (24.14%), proven A5 winner from T1, Fader with EP that suits tight Valley 460m. Rail advantage compounds through 4 bends.
Best speed but worst trap, worst suitability, and Closer profile at a tight track. The data strongly opposes her despite the raw numbers.
Exceptional trainer signal and fastest recent time, but extreme Fader (CS 0) stepping up in class with low distance suitability. Risky despite the headline numbers.
Pure Closer at tight Valley 460m with zero EP = can be confidently opposed. No path to winning at this track regardless of the opposition.
Consistent Closer who picks up places but can't convert at tight Valley. Likely to be in the mix but not winning.
T1 is the best trap (24.14% from 116 runs), T5 second (22.13% from 122 runs), T3 third (20.66% from 121 runs). R1 wins 31.25% — the highest composite rank conversion of any Valley grade. D S Davy at 46.15% from 13 runs in A5 is exceptional.
T1:24.14% T2:11.57% T3:20.66% T4:11.81% T5:22.13% T6:20.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Outback Fido | 55 | 44 | Fader |
2Ashway Dolly | 39 | 64 | Closer |
3Crannon Lady | 97 | 0 | Fader |
4Quivers Rex | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift Backround | 55 | 34 | Fader |
6Beechview Bale | 45 | 56 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.