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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gizmo Mysteriousb 1y 6 | J L Morris — 33% R27 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 37 (1) | 20 (6) | 35 (2) | 33 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (1) | 28 (5) | - | - | - | 53 | 45 | - | 49 | 28 | 38 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Shunters Peaceb 3y 5 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 23 (3) | 25 (2) | 22 (3) | 21 (6) | 32 (2) | 34 (2) | 20 (6) | 28 (2) | 25 (2) | 59 (6) | 44 | 34 | 18 | 33 | 34 | 36 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Bonnies Boltd 4y 35 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 37 (6) | 49 (4) | 14 (4) | 24 (6) | 25 (4) | 27 (2) | 32 (3) | 33 (1) | 31 (1) | - | 39 | 52 | 36 | 53 | 27 | 35 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Russmur Roddickd 4y 45 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 42 (4) | 58 (3) | 57 (4) | 61 (3) | 26 (5) | 22 (5) | 46 (4) | 54 (4) | 24 (4) | 23 (3) | 32 | 28 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Kippagh Epicb 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | - | 28 (3) | 17 (6) | 21 (5) | 22 (3) | 27 (6) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 27 (3) | 27 (2) | - | 36 | 32 | 40 | 32 | 23 | 28 | 5 | 6/1 | |
The standout factor here is trainer J L Morris at 44% win rate — an elite-tier signal that towers above every other trainer in this field (next best is D S Davy at 26%). When a 44% trainer places a dog, they know when and where to win. Gizmo Mysterious has consistent front-running form: 2nd at D5 (16.46 Mid,LedToNrLn), 2nd in T4 trial (16.70 QAw,LedToNrLn), 2nd in T4 trial (16.73 QAw,LedT1), and won T2 trial (16.68 ALed by 9.75 lengths). The pattern is clear — he leads from the traps every single time. The fact he keeps getting caught near the line at trials suggests D4 company may suit him better than the tougher graded races. Speed rating 52 is competitive. Suitability is excellent: track 45, distance 49, trap 53 — he's proven at Valley 260m from trap 1. The class suit of 0 reflects his trial-heavy background but the trainer placing him at D4 specifically is the decisive factor.
DANGER: Two consecutive wins with EP front-running form. Best suitability. The form trend is clearly upward and she'll challenge for the lead.
Best speed (54) and good trap draw but hasn't been able to convert at D4 recently. Will be thereabouts but likely for places.
Zero early pace + low speed + poor suitability = hard to see a path to any involvement here. Can be confidently opposed.
Best trap position by far and has the fastest ever D4 time, but sharp form decline in last two runs makes this a risk. Trap alone isn't enough.
T5 is the DOMINANT trap at D4 260m (24.35% from 271 runs) — significantly ahead of the pack. R1 wins 25.55% from 544 runs. J L Morris is not in the regular trainer pool for Valley — a visiting trainer with 44% WR placing a dog here is a major signal.
T1:14.83% T2:19.48% T3:16.92% T4:18.01% T5:24.35% T6:18.93%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.