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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fuel Inthe Flameb 2y 5 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 52 (3) | 55 (4) | 47 (5) | 73 (1) | 40 (5) | 74 (1) | 41 (3) | 69 (5) | 33 (1) | - | 39 | 34 | 23 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 3 | 13/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Ninab 2y 15 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 43 | 34 (5) | 14 (5) | 24 (6) | 14 (3) | 19 (3) | 25 (1) | 17 (5) | 10 (6) | 44 (3) | 15 (5) | 3 | 29 | - | - | 41 | 28 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballyregan Tarab 3y 24 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 53 | 41 (4) | 54 (3) | 16 (3) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 34 (5) | 43 (5) | 59 (3) | 50 (4) | 23 | 22 | 37 | 22 | 49 | 37 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Trionas Destinyb 2y 13 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 47 | 15 (5) | 34 (5) | 40 (4) | 24 (6) | 31 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 27 | 16 | 6 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Trionas Twilightb 2y 17 | P T Maynard — 22% R212 W46 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 60 | 41 (6) | 61 (2) | 55 (4) | 58 (3) | 70 (1) | 42 (4) | 15 (4) | 61 (3) | 38 (6) | 52 (2) | 4 | 31 | 18 | 31 | 48 | 34 | 1 | 8/13F | |
| 6 | ▶ Livingonaprayerb 3y 26 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 18 (5) | 22 (3) | 23 (3) | 16 (6) | 31 (6) | 23 (1) | 20 (2) | - | 37 | 8 | - | - | 31 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | |
Trionas Twilight is the clear pick — speed 65 is the field's best, first bend 60 is the field's best, early pace 60 is the field's best. Front Runner profile is exactly what Valley 460m demands: the tight turns heavily favour dogs that establish position early and hold through the bends. Her 28.98 for 2nd in A6 last time ('EvCh,Mid') is by far the fastest time in the field — sub-29 at A6 is elite. Before that: 6th in A5 (30.40, 'CrdRnUp,Ck1' — crowded throughout), 3rd in A5 (29.66, beaten 1/2L, 'ClrRun'), 2nd in T3 (29.93), 2nd in T3 (30.07). Form trajectory of 2nd→2nd→3rd→6th→2nd shows consistent competitiveness at A5 level — dropping to A6 is a class advantage. Pace consistency 80 is good. The only concern is CS 48 means she may not hold if strongly challenged late, but at Valley 460m the tight bends protect front runners. T5 wins 18.75% — average, not dominant — but composite R1 wins 30.22% in A6 460m, the highest of any Valley condition today.
DANGER: Joint-best trap (T1, 20.88%) with All-Rounder profile and sub-30 trial form. The rail advantage compounds over four bends at Valley. If Twilight weakens at all, Fuel is perfectly positioned to benefit.
DANGER: Speed 63 and CS 66 from a class drop (A5 to A6) in the joint-best trap. Not a pure sit-and-closer — can make mid-race moves. The main threat to Twilight if the front-runner weakens at all.
Speed 30 is 35 points behind the field leader with distance suit 0 and the worst trap draw. The 460m debut showed some closing ability but the structural deficits are too large.
Speed 36 with suitability scores near zero and an eased run suggesting she gave up. Outclassed on every measurable factor and unlikely to feature.
Elite pace consistency (92) and honest All-Rounder profile, but the 29.82 A6 460m true-run 4th suggests she's competitive for minor places rather than the win. Nearly a second slower than Twilight's best.
T1 and T3 are the best traps at 20.88% and 20.65% from 542 runs. Composite R1 wins 30.22% — the highest R1 conversion of any Valley condition today, heavily favouring the top-rated dog.
T1:20.88% T2:14% T3:20.65% T4:18.27% T5:18.75% T6:18.64%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fuel Inthe Flame | 54 | 52 | All-Rounder |
2Hawkfield Nina | 44 | 66 | Closer |
3Ballyregan Tara | 51 | 66 | Closer |
4Trionas Destiny | 46 | 36 | All-Rounder |
5Trionas Twilight | 60 | 48 | Front Runner |
6Livingonaprayer | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.