Watch PGR on Sky Sports Racing Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fabulous Javab 3y 17 | J T Edgar — 16% R484 W79 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 45 | 53 (5) | 72 (1) | 59 (2) | 67 (1) | 38 (5) | 54 (5) | 53 (4) | 62 (3) | 42 (6) | 46 (6) | 61 | 30 | - | 26 | 58 | 51 | 3 | 11/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Avab 3y 7 | A Harrison — 19% R519 W101 P314 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 44 (5) | 73 (2) | 78 (1) | 41 (5) | 47 (5) | 77 (1) | 38 (1) | 59 (2) | 66 (4) | - | 48 | 47 | 35 | 39 | 59 | 54 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Wraysbury Silver d 3y 2 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 56 (4) | 63 (2) | 48 (4) | 73 (1) | 49 (4) | 73 (1) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 39 (5) | 44 (5) | 38 | 34 | 38 | 36 | 55 | 48 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Katies Captaind 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1095 W185 P592 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 42 | 71 (1) | 48 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 55 (4) | 58 (4) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 65 (3) | 56 (4) | 53 | 56 | 25 | 46 | 63 | 59 | 1 | 13/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Lastminutedotcomd 4y 16 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 55 | 59 (4) | 67 (2) | 82 (1) | 58 (3) | 78 (1) | 61 (3) | 59 (4) | 40 (4) | 19 (2) | 45 (5) | 39 | 37 | 56 | 34 | 55 | 49 | 4 | 6/4F | |
The dominant form runner — perf 63 is 4 points clear of the field, with a form trajectory of 65→56→64→62→78→61 that shows exceptional consistency at A3 level. That 78 perf was an A4 win, and the 65, 64, 62 perfs were competitive A3 finishes — she's been racing above this A4 grade and performing well. Closer profile (EP 40, CS 83, PaceCon 85) is perfectly suited to Newcastle's fair track where late-runners aren't discriminated against and the lengthy home straight gives Closers time to close. Speed 58 is the best in the field — she has genuine closing power. Track suit 56 is the highest in the field, confirming she handles Newcastle's bends and track characteristics. Distance suit 46 and trap suit 53 complete an outstanding suitability profile — suit mean 45 is field-best. Blackbird at 14% is the one concern as the trainer doesn't feature among top A4 performers. But the dog-specific data is overwhelming: best perf, best speed, best suit mean, best consistency, and a Closer profile at a fair track. Drawn T5 at 15.9% — the worst trap at A4. But the class override applies emphatically: perf 63 is 5+ points above the field average (~58), her form is consistently at A3 level (65, 64, 62, 78), and Newcastle's galloping profile means Performance > Trap. CD record of 2w/10r is modest but her recent form has been at A3 not A4, so the CD sample is compressed.
DANGER: Best trap (T3 at 21.2%), second-best perf (59), and a recent 75 perf A4 win that's the best single run in the field. But PaceCon 57 and 1w/10r CD suggest inconsistency. On her best day she beats the pick; on an average day she's 3rd.
Solid rail draw with strong trap suit (61) but perf 58 is 5 points behind the pick. Inconsistent form (38 to 72 range) prevents confident selection. Place contender.
Declining form from a 72 peak to mid-40s, below-average trap, and perf 55 that's 8 points behind the pick. Mid-pack finisher without the current form to threaten.
Capable of a 77-perf winning run but equally capable of a 15. The widest form range in the field makes selection impossible despite the peaks. On his day he's a contender; on most days he's mid-pack.
T3 is the best trap at 21.2% from 372 runs. T5 worst at 15.9% from 232 runs. R1 composite wins 21.4% and R2 at 19.9% — the top two ranked dogs win a combined 41.3%. D Little at 31.2% from 16 runs is top trainer. J J Fenwick at 24.2% from 33 runs.
T1:20.6% T2:19.8% T3:21.2% T4:18.7% T5:15.9% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fabulous Java | 46 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Alnwick Ava | 53 | 31 | All-Rounder |
4Wraysbury Silver | 52 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Katies Captain | 40 | 83 | Closer |
6Lastminutedotcom | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.