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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westons Skeletonb 1y 15 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 56 | 62 (3) | 77 (1) | 66 (2) | 73 (1) | 59 (2) | 40 (5) | 42 (5) | 59 (3) | 69 (1) | 57 (2) | 15 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 51 | 37 | 4 | 10/11F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Coppice Melbelleb 2y 16 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 40 | 67 (1) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 35 (5) | 31 (2) | 21 (6) | 30 (2) | 35 (1) | 40 (5) | 51 (4) | 43 | 38 | 15 | 33 | 46 | 43 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Footfield Scard 5y 25 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 47 | 23 (6) | 39 (4) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 47 (5) | 53 (2) | 39 (2) | 45 (4) | 50 (3) | - | 39 | 29 | 41 | 29 | 46 | 41 | 3 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Highclere Mavrikd 2y 18 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 46 | 41 (4) | 57 (1) | 42 (4) | 37 (5) | 43 (4) | 28 (5) | 49 (2) | 49 (2) | 43 (4) | 42 (4) | 28 | 21 | 19 | 25 | 44 | 37 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Smurfs Babyb 3y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 56 | 51 (2) | 46 (2) | 48 (3) | 47 (2) | 53 (2) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | 44 (5) | 62 (1) | 44 (4) | 24 | 29 | 32 | 29 | 53 | 44 | 1 | 13/8 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Boltd 4yN/R 22 | A Harrison — 20% R497 W97 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 49 | 17 (6) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 39 (5) | 33 (5) | 58 (1) | 30 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 (5) | 50 (2) | 42 | 43 | 56 | 32 | 53 | 48 | - | - | ||
Joint-best perf (53) with the best speed (56) and bend (56) combination in the field. Fader profile (EP 60, CS 34, PaceCon 84) means she'll lead through the first bend and be prominent throughout — at Newcastle where the bends take getting used to, her bend 56 gives her a positional advantage through the first two turns. Her form shows genuine A7/A6 quality: 57→55→44→63→40→59, with the 63 being an A7 win and the 57 and 59 showing consistent competitiveness at A6 and A7. She's also had HP form (55, 44) showing versatility. Blackbird at 14% is below the trainer awareness tier. The T5 draw at 14.7% is the worst trap at A7 — a significant negative. But her early pace (EP 60) and speed (56) mean she's not dependent on the trap — she'll use raw pace to establish position regardless. Suit mean 28 is mid-range. CD record of 1w/10r is modest. The concern is the Fader profile at Newcastle's fair track where the home straight gives Closers time — but CS 34 is moderate enough that she might sustain with a soft lead, especially if T1 Skeleton goes with her and provides a target rather than pressure. The R3 composite at 24.2% means A7 is unpredictable — this is genuinely Speculative.
DANGER: Best trap (T6 at 22.7%), best trainer (Harrison 24%), and best suitability (suit mean 43) give him every structural advantage. But only two competitive races (54, 57 at A6) means he's almost entirely unproven. The structural advantages make him the danger; the lack of proven form prevents a confident pick.
Consistent competitive form (51→51→50) from a dog who doesn't know Newcastle (suit mean 12, 0w/5r CD). The track profile says Newcastle 'bends take some getting used to' — and this dog hasn't got used to them. Consistency is a positive but venue unfamiliarity is a significant headwind.
Mid-pack Closer with declining form, worst speed in the field (42), and 1w/10r CD. Will be in the frame for places without generating the pace to win.
Consistent placer (53→39→45→50→52→48) with strong CS 76 closing speed but a chronic inability to win (0w/10r CD). The data is unambiguous: she places, she doesn't win. Reliable for each-way, unreliable for the win.
Decent trap (T4) with consistent pacing (PaceCon 88) but perf 44 and poor suitability (suit mean 23) leave him behind the top runners. Better suited to A8 based on form trajectory.
T6 is best trap at 22.7% (238r). T4 at 20.6% and T3 at 20.5% close behind. T5 worst at 14.7%. R3 composite wins 24.2% — upsets dominate A7. A Harrison at 24.0% from 50 runs is a strong trainer signal.
T1:16.4% T2:15.9% T3:20.5% T4:20.6% T5:14.7% T6:22.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Westons Skeleton | 61 | 31 | Fader |
2Coppice Melbelle | 49 | 59 | Closer |
3Footfield Scar | 41 | 76 | Closer |
4Highclere Mavrik | 42 | 66 | Closer |
5Smurfs Baby | 60 | 34 | Fader |
6Alnwick Bolt | 51 | 41 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.