Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Fearneb 5y 24 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 50 | 50 (4) | 34 (4) | 45 (2) | 26 (6) | 36 (3) | 39 (3) | 44 (2) | 42 (2) | 69 (1) | 43 (2) | 30 | 29 | 22 | 29 | 48 | 41 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouse Wayned 1y 25 | S Ray — 14% R414 W60 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 39 | 45 (6) | 33 (2) | 28 (2) | 42 (5) | 39 (5) | 37 (4) | 35 (4) | 55 (3) | - | - | 54 | 50 | 31 | 41 | 40 | 43 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Whitehills Zoeyb 1y 5 | R J Buckton — 19% R215 W40 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 48 (2) | 61 (2) | 55 (2) | 53 (2) | 43 (5) | 47 (2) | 57 (1) | 50 (2) | 33 (5) | - | 34 | 73 | - | 68 | 33 | 42 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Whitehills Wendyb 1y 4 | R J Buckton — 19% R215 W40 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 60 | 29 (5) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 42 (2) | 58 (3) | 51 (2) | 38 (3) | 46 (3) | 45 (2) | 36 (5) | 31 | 40 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 38 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Slippy Poppyb 2y 8 | D Blackbird — 17% R1095 W185 P592 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 51 (3) | 44 (5) | 37 (6) | 56 (3) | 40 (6) | 44 (4) | 62 (1) | 49 (3) | 40 (4) | 51 (3) | 19 | 33 | 50 | 28 | 42 | 37 | 2 | 8/11F | |
Best performance in the field at 48 with a recent HP win at 69 perf — that's a class above this A8 field. Her All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 37, PaceCon 89) gives her the most balanced racing approach in a field full of extremes (two Closers, one Fader, one Front Runner). The 69 perf HP win was her most recent start and shows she's in current form — when she clicks, she's significantly better than A8 level. Her other recent form is poor (43→29→39→38→33) but those runs were at A8/A9 level where she was clearly not trying or had bad races. Rutherford at 20% is a solid trainer for A8 conditions — Rutherford doesn't feature in the top trainers at A8 specifically, but his general Newcastle record is reliable. CD record of 2w/10r with the wins likely coming from her good runs. Drawn T1 at 19.1% — decent. Track suit 29 is modest. The key argument for her is simple: the 69 perf win last time shows she's capable of running 20+ perf points above this field's average, and in a weak A8 field, even a moderate effort should be enough.
DANGER: Best speed (56), best trap (T5 at 21.2%), and Front Runner profile that can sustain (CS 50). If she leads, she has the pace to hold off the Closers. But perf 42 is 6 points below the pick's recent form level.
Good condition suitability (suit mean 44) from the worst trap (T2 at 15.2%). Wild form swings between 29 and 55 make prediction impossible. Place candidate on a good day.
Trial specialist whose 80% CD record is misleading — all non-competitive wins. Only competitive run was P5 at 33 perf. Until she proves she can compete in graded racing, the numbers are decorative.
Will lead early (EP 61, bend 60) but declining form trajectory and CS 15 Fader profile guarantee she weakens. 1w/10r CD confirms the pattern. Pace tool who sets it up for others.
T3 and T5 tied for best trap at 21.2%. T4 at 20.9% close behind. T2 worst at 15.2%. Very even composite rank distribution (R1 19.9%, R3 18.9%) — upsets are very common at A8. A Harrison at 35.3% from 17 runs and S Roberts at 33.3% from 15 runs are the standout trainers.
T1:19.1% T2:15.2% T3:21.2% T4:20.9% T5:21.2% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Fearne | 50 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Blackhouse Wayne | 40 | 66 | Closer |
3Whitehills Zoey | 43 | 63 | Closer |
4Whitehills Wendy | 61 | 15 | Fader |
5Slippy Poppy | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.