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Book The Directors Box @ Nottingham Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baby Arcb 4yREP 23 | A S Mcpherson — 12% R290 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 12 | 28 | 31 (6) | 34 (6) | 54 (1) | 42 (2) | 55 (3) | 50 (4) | 25 (6) | 23 (6) | 16 (6) | 56 (2) | 19 | 20 | - | 22 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rogerthedodged 5yREP 24 | J Llewellin — 15% R372 W56 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 49 | 52 (4) | 40 (5) | 53 (4) | 31 (6) | 52 (2) | 47 (3) | 56 (1) | 55 (4) | 40 (5) | 72 (1) | 33 | 24 | - | 24 | 48 | 35 | 5 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Wall Of Silenced 3yREP 14 | A S Mcpherson — 12% R290 W35 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 61 | 57 (2) | 37 (5) | 53 (4) | 44 (4) | 56 (2) | 42 (5) | 48 (5) | 40 (5) | 44 (5) | 42 (5) | 1 | 17 | - | 19 | 47 | 37 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Newland Beard 2yREP 7 | S J Spillane — 14% R103 W14 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 59 | 47 (5) | 40 (6) | 48 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 45 | 39 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Blackfriars Goldb 2yREP 7 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 66 (2) | 63 (3) | 46 (6) | 64 (3) | 54 (3) | 73 (1) | 41 (6) | 49 (3) | 16 | 28 | - | 42 | 64 | 50 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Spot The Loonyd 4yREP 26 | J Llewellin — 15% R372 W56 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 52 | 65 (3) | 63 (3) | 51 (5) | 77 (1) | 77 (1) | 76 (1) | 61 (3) | 69 (2) | 62 (2) | - | 38 | 34 | - | 37 | 66 | 59 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spot The Loony | 30.71 | 30.92 | 30.70 | 72 | -0.01 | Speed leader | |
| 5 | Blackfriars Gold | 31.02 | 31.33 | 30.93 | 54 | -0.09 | Won last time | |
| 4 | Newland Bear | 31.10 | 31.27 | 30.90 | 55 | -0.20 | 3 career races | |
| 3 | Wall Of Silence | 30.66 | 31.32 | 31.65 | 50 | +0.99 | Worst trap | |
| 2 | Rogerthedodge | 31.00 | 31.68 | 30.61 | 34 | -0.39 | Quick last run | |
| 1 | Baby Arc | 31.82 | 32.38 | 31.62 | 12 | -0.20 | Out of form |
The second 500-metre handicap on the card, and the same structural truth applies: the back-marker box is the best in these races, with trap 6 winning 23.1% from 424 runs while trap 3 manages a miserable 14.3%. Class gives ground away but usually gets it back over this trip. This one is a genuine two-dog war on the numbers. Spot The Loony is the fastest dog in the race by some margin and gives starts to everyone, while Blackfriars Gold — just one box ahead of him — arrives in the hottest form of anything in the field, having won this event two weeks ago. Both are slow starters who finish hard, so expect the front-marked trio to string out early before the two class dogs come rolling through the pack from the third bend. Wall Of Silence and Newland Bear have the pace to make them work for it in the middle of the race.
The fastest dog in the race and it isn't close — a speed rating of 72 against 55 for the next best, the quickest average time in the field, and a 30.70 last time out that sits within a whisker of his best. He owns three wins and five placings from ten runs at this course and distance, and earlier this spring he rattled off three consecutive 77-rated performances that nothing else here has approached. From the back-marker box — statistically the best slot in these handicaps — he has the class to give the starts and take them all back. Recent runs of 65 and 63 are solid rather than spectacular, which is the only reason to temper enthusiasm.
The form dog of the race — he won this very handicap two weeks ago with a 74, backed it up with a 73 before that, and his last four runs are all in the 60s and 70s. Three wins from ten at this course and distance, all of them in handicap company, so this is exactly his game. He's outpaced early and storms home late, and off a start from trap 5 he'll have a pull on the favourite behind him. The clock says he's half a second slower than Spot The Loony at best, but current form counts for plenty and his is red-hot.
Just three open races behind him — all at A5, finishing 47, 40, 48 — so his form is emerging rather than established, and none of it screams handicap winner yet. But the trials tell a different story: two fast 500-metre workouts here in late May, clocking 30.64 and 30.65, quicker than anything his race form suggests. Lightly-raced dogs with fast trials in handicap company are the classic improvers the grader hasn't caught up with. He shows decent early pace and gets a start on the two class dogs — genuinely interesting at a price, but unproven.
Ran a season-best 57 when second in this event last week, and his 30.66 career best is actually the fastest raw time in the field. But everything else is against him tonight: he's drawn in trap 3, the graveyard slot in Nottingham handicaps at 14.3%, he's never won in ten tries at this course and distance, and his form swings wildly — that 57 came sandwiched between runs of 37 and 44. He shows sharp early pace before weakening late, so expect him prominent for four bends before the closers arrive.
Quietly clocked 30.61 last time out — the fastest last-run figure in the field — despite finishing only fourth in this handicap, which tells you the engine works better than the bare result. He has two wins from ten at this course and distance and gets a healthy start from trap 2. The catch is that his ratings have been stuck in the 40s and low 50s all year and he's never strung two big runs together. If that 30.61 was the start of something he's dangerous; history says it was a one-off.
Gets the maximum start from the front-marker box but arrives in the worst form of his season — sixth of six last time with a 31, and his last four runs have all been well below the 50-55 level he was hitting in the spring. He's never been quick, with the slowest best time in the field by three-quarters of a second, and one win from nine at this course and distance. Front markers can steal handicaps when the pace behind collapses, but with two closers of this quality in behind, that script looks unlikely tonight.
Key insight: Trap 6 — the back marker, home of the classiest dog — wins 23.1% of Nottingham 500m handicaps from 424 runs, the best box by a clear margin. The fastest dog wins 22.7%. Trap 3 is the dead slot at 14.3%.
T1:16.5% T2:18.0% T3:14.3% T4:18.1% T5:19.1% T6:23.1%
2,284 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baby Arc | 29 | 53 | All-Rounder |
2Rogerthedodge | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Wall Of Silence | 57 | 36 | Fader |
4Newland Bear | 56 | 39 | Fader |
5Blackfriars Gold | 44 | 66 | Closer |
6Spot The Loony | 51 | 75 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 305m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baby Arc | 0.631 | 0.648 |
| 2 | Rogerthedodge | — | 0.634 |
| 3 | Wall Of Silence | — | 0.626 |
| 4 | Newland Bear | — | 0.625 |
| 5 | Blackfriars Gold | — | 0.627 |
| 6 | Spot The Loony | — | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.