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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kingdom Sparkleb 2y 16 | A M Kibble — 24% R230 W55 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 47 | 65 (3) | 77 (1) | 74 (1) | 59 (4) | 56 (3) | 76 (1) | 59 (2) | 37 (6) | 70 (3) | 84 (1) | 45 | 43 | 26 | 43 | 66 | 48 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Maggie Bombasticb 3y 24 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 53 | 54 (2) | 69 (2) | 57 (5) | 64 (3) | 58 (4) | 64 (3) | 56 (5) | 43 (3) | 59 (1) | 70 (2) | 31 | 36 | 56 | - | 60 | 46 | 3 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Adamant Finnd 2y 17 | P V Swadden — 23% R88 W20 P47 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 64 (3) | 63 (4) | 41 (6) | 36 (6) | 63 (4) | 86 (1) | 62 (4) | 81 (1) | 58 (4) | 65 (3) | 1 | 32 | 25 | 23 | 60 | 45 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Antigua Bubbled 3y 24 | A Welch — 13% R303 W40 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 74 (3) | 42 (1) | 74 (5) | 76 (2) | 67 (1) | 65 (2) | 58 (3) | 76 (4) | 52 (1) | - | 36 | 25 | 22 | 46 | 65 | 45 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Clona Bingod 3y 25 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 54 | 61 (3) | 62 (4) | 67 (4) | 57 (4) | 79 (1) | 53 (6) | 59 (2) | 58 (5) | 52 (5) | 29 (6) | 38 | 50 | 9 | 39 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hitthelids Paulod 3y 6 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 55 | 72 (2) | 54 (5) | 79 (1) | 45 (5) | 58 (4) | 80 (1) | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 26 | 29 | 10 | 40 | 64 | 53 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingdom Sparkle | 29.68 | 29.85 | 29.96 | 43 | +0.28 | Best trap, C&D specialist | |
| 2 | Maggie Bombastic | 29.52 | 29.58 | 29.56 | 57 | +0.04 | 0 wins from 4 C&D | |
| 3 | Adamant Finn | 29.49 | 29.77 | 29.85 | 49 | +0.36 | Steady C&D form | |
| 4 | Antigua Bubble | 29.43 | 29.88 | 29.99 | 46 | +0.56 | Won last time, strong C&D | |
| 5 | Clona Bingo | 29.31 | 29.71 | 29.71 | 56 | +0.40 | Worst trap today | |
| 6 | Hitthelids Paulo | 29.29 | 29.84 | 29.44 | 57 | +0.15 | Top rated, C&D specialist |
Back to Towcester's 500m round for a stronger A3 heat, and this is one of the grades where the ratings here have generally held up — trap 1 is the best draw at close to 26%, with trap 5 the one to avoid down at 13.7%. Hitthelids Paulo rates highest on the model tonight and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record, four wins and five places from ten starts over this exact test — about as proven as a dog can be at the conditions. He does his best work from off the pace, which should suit if the race is truly run. Kingdom Sparkle holds the plum draw in trap 1 and carries an even better win rate over this course and distance, but she's the slowest recorded time in the field, which raises a question if the pace up front is genuine. Clona Bingo, drawn in the weakest box, has solid without spectacular figures across the board.
Rates highest on the model tonight and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record — four wins and five places from ten starts over this exact test, as proven as a dog gets at the conditions. He shares the fastest recorded time in the field and does his best work finishing from off the pace, which should suit if the race is genuinely run rather than a dawdle. His last run was a close second and his overall figures have been solid throughout. Trap 6 isn't the standout box but with this level of course form and finishing speed, the draw matters less.
Sits in the best-performing trap in this A3 breakdown and boasts the best course and distance win rate in the entire field — three wins and four places from seven starts over this exact test, an outstanding record at the specific conditions. She carries the highest average rating in the race too, finishing strongly from off the pace when it comes together. The one query mark is raw speed — she's recorded the slowest time of any runner here, which matters if the pace up front is truly strong rather than one she can pick apart late. If the race sets up right, the trap and the course form give her a big chance.
Steps in from a higher-grade open race last time where she ran a respectable second, so there's a touch of class dropping into this A3. Her profile is a fader, quick to show early speed before losing ground, and four runs at this exact course and distance have yet to produce a win or a place. Trap 2 is a reasonable draw. There's talent here but the course and distance record is a concern.
A frequent visitor to this course and distance with two wins and two places from ten starts, finishing strongly from off the pace. His recent figures have been up and down without a clear trend, and his speed rating sits in the middle of this field. Trainer form is solid at 24%. There's enough course experience here to keep him in the shake-up without threatening the leading pair.
Won last time out at the grade below and carries a strong course and distance record into this step up — three wins and five places from ten starts over this exact test, genuinely proven form at the conditions. She races at a nicely balanced pace throughout rather than relying on one phase of the race. Trap 4 has been a modest draw in this breakdown. The step up in grade is the obvious question after that recent win.
Drops in from open-grade company where his last run was a fair third, and he races at a balanced, versatile pace that can adapt to how the race unfolds. Course and distance form is moderate — a win and two places from five starts. The big problem tonight is the draw: trap 5 has been comfortably the weakest box in this A3 breakdown, working against him regardless of the ability on show.
Key insight: Composite Rank 1 wins 22.3% at this grade and trip, a reasonably reliable signal, and trap 1 is a clear standout draw at 25.7% with trap 5 the weakest.
T1:25.7% T2:21.7% T3:18.9% T4:17.3% T5:13.7% T6:16.6%
1,136 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kingdom Sparkle | 50 | 100 | Closer |
2Maggie Bombastic | 92 | 0 | Fader |
3Adamant Finn | 46 | 69 | Closer |
4Antigua Bubble | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Clona Bingo | 54 | 13 | All-Rounder |
6Hitthelids Paulo | 48 | 56 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 462m | 480m | 483m | 491m | 500m | 515m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kingdom Sparkle | 0.611 | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | — |
| 2 | Maggie Bombastic | 0.624 | — | 0.583 | 0.619 | 0.610 | 0.592 | 0.594 |
| 3 | Adamant Finn | — | — | — | — | — | 0.595 | — |
| 4 | Antigua Bubble | — | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | — |
| 5 | Clona Bingo | — | 0.619 | 0.600 | 0.620 | 0.603 | 0.594 | — |
| 6 | Hitthelids Paulo | — | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.