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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Flourishb 3y 6 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (2) | 33 (4) | 43 (2) | 39 (3) | 41 (1) | 36 (3) | 34 (4) | 32 (4) | 32 (5) | 46 (1) | 26 | 41 | 33 | 34 | 38 | 38 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tomahawkd 3y 33 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 61 (5) | 60 (4) | 44 (3) | 58 (1) | 73 (3) | 67 (2) | 49 (5) | 99 (6) | 76 (1) | - | 40 | 49 | - | - | 50 | 16 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Limekiln Ziggyb 3y 7 | P A Braithwaite — 24% R51 W12 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 35 (3) | 31 (3) | 36 (2) | 26 (5) | 42 (2) | 39 (2) | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 39 | 40 | 35 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Newline Codid 2y 5 | P A Braithwaite — 24% R51 W12 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (5) | 47 (1) | 46 (1) | 47 (1) | 36 (3) | 70 (4) | 46 (1) | 48 (6) | 61 (3) | 65 (1) | 21 | 47 | 57 | 43 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dreamin Ringod 2y 14 | C L Conley — 28% R57 W16 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 37 (3) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 76 (3) | 57 (3) | 69 (2) | 79 (1) | 68 (3) | 34 (3) | 40 (1) | 31 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Unknown Feverb 1y 15 | D D Porter — 16% R472 W77 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 30 (5) | 39 (2) | 27 (6) | 43 (2) | 38 (3) | 32 (4) | 45 (1) | 41 (1) | 23 (6) | 25 (5) | 26 | 44 | 31 | 40 | 35 | 36 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Flourish | 15.91 | 16.14 | 16.23 | 51 | +0.32 | Best trap, C&D specialist | |
| 2 | Tomahawk | No recent runs at 270m — last outings were over 462m. Times not comparable. | — | No 270m form recorded | ||||
| 3 | Limekiln Ziggy | 16.02 | 16.21 | 16.17 | 49 | +0.15 | Won last time out | |
| 4 | Newline Codi | 15.86 | 16.04 | 16.30 | 53 | +0.44 | Fastest but worst trap | |
| 5 | Dreamin Ringo | 15.99 | 16.09 | 16.19 | 52 | +0.20 | Best trainer in field | |
| 6 | Unknown Fever | 16.09 | 16.35 | 16.22 | 44 | +0.13 | Weak trap, in-form | |
This D1 grade over the minimum trip is one of the stronger reads on the model tonight — 27% of races here go to the top-rated dog, well above the average for this track, and trap 1 is a clear standout draw at 25.3% with traps 4 and 6 the weakest. Swift Flourish holds that plum inside draw and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record, three wins and four places from ten starts over this exact test — a genuine specialist at the conditions. Newline Codi rates highest overall and is the fastest in the field on the clock, finishing strongly from off the pace, but she's drawn in the single weakest box in this grade, which works hard against a hold-up runner. Limekiln Ziggy arrives fresh off a win last time and Unknown Fever has been knocking on the door with places in four of his last six, but neither matches the pick's combination of trap and course form.
Holds the best draw in the race — trap 1 has won just over a quarter of these D1 races — and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record, three wins and four places from ten starts over this exact test, one of the strongest specialist records on the card tonight. Her recent form has been admirably steady, six runs all sitting in a tight band around the mid-30s to low-40s, and she was fourth last time out at the same course, distance and grade. Sits second on the model's own rating, just behind the top pick, which at this track's most reliable grade is a real endorsement. The combination of the best box and a proven record at the exact conditions makes her the pick.
Rates highest of anyone in the field and shares the fastest recorded time too, finishing strongly from off the pace with a remarkably consistent pace pattern. Her small course and distance sample shows two wins from three starts, an eye-catching if thin record. The problem is the draw — trap 4 has been the single weakest box in this D1 breakdown, and a confirmed hold-up runner has to survive the first bend from there before she can even think about using her finishing speed. On raw ability she's the one to beat, but the draw is a real obstacle.
Steps down sharply in both grade and distance tonight, last seen finishing fifth in an open-grade race over 462m — nearly double tonight's trip. There's no recorded form at all over 270m to judge how the switch will suit, and his profile as a fader who shows plenty of early speed before losing ground is a poor match for a minimum-trip dash where there's little time to recover lost ground. A significant unknown.
Won last time out at the grade below and arrives with a strong course and distance record — two wins and five places from ten starts over this exact test. Her recent form has been consistent without being spectacular, and trap 3 is a fair if unremarkable draw in this breakdown. The step up in grade off a recent win is the obvious question, but the course experience gives her claims.
Trained by the in-form yard in this field at 28%, easily the best trainer strike rate on show tonight. His own course and distance record is thin at just two starts, one win and one place, so there isn't a large body of evidence either way. Recent form has bounced around, third last time out matching tonight's exact conditions. A workmanlike sort who won't be far away without obviously standing out.
Has been knocking on the door lately, placing in four of his last six starts including a second last time out at this exact course, distance and grade. He's also a strong course and distance performer over the piece, with two wins and four places from ten starts. The trouble is the draw — trap 6 has been one of the two weakest boxes in this D1 breakdown, and he's also recorded the slowest time in the field, which makes it hard to see him getting there from here.
Key insight: D-grades are this track's strongest tier for the model — composite Rank 1 wins 27.3% here, well above the track average. Trap 1 is the best draw at 25.3%, with traps 4 and 6 both weak.
T1:25.3% T2:24.6% T3:20.0% T4:14.3% T5:22.4% T6:15.5%
1,003 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 262m | 270m | 277m | 388m | 400m | 450m | 462m | 476m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Flourish | — | — | 0.598 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Tomahawk | — | — | — | — | 0.614 | 0.612 | 0.625 | 0.608 | — | 0.593 |
| 3 | Limekiln Ziggy | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Newline Codi | — | — | 0.594 | 0.592 | — | — | — | 0.616 | — | — |
| 5 | Dreamin Ringo | 0.606 | 0.601 | 0.596 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.607 | — |
| 6 | Unknown Fever | — | — | 0.605 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.