Loading...
Towcester Thursday 16th July 2026 Afternoon PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Monroe Bessb 2y 5 | N J Deas — 16% R387 W62 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 23 (4) | 20 (6) | 11 (6) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 78 (1) | 21 (4) | 23 (4) | 4 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Unknown Alphad 2y 4 | D D Porter — 16% R472 W77 P252 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 32 (3) | 34 (2) | 33 (2) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 30 (2) | 30 (3) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 32 | 39 | 26 | 44 | 31 | 34 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Greencroft Ricod 2y 4 | S J Rayner — 16% R135 W21 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 22 (5) | 35 (1) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 26 (3) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 46 | 39 | 42 | 38 | 27 | 32 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Freeway Fayeb 3y 27 | N A Linnell — 0% R9 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 25 (4) | 27 (5) | 24 (6) | 39 (6) | 53 (4) | 65 (4) | 78 (1) | 75 (1) | 47 (6) | 44 (6) | 39 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burrow Amazingb 4y 24 | A Welch — 13% R302 W40 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (5) | 30 (3) | 22 (6) | 37 (2) | 35 (2) | 31 (4) | 24 (6) | 28 (5) | 42 (1) | 24 (6) | 27 | 36 | 24 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tommys Lottod 5y 14 | C A Grasso — 14% R29 W4 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 27 (6) | 33 (3) | 27 (4) | 34 (3) | 35 (1) | 28 (4) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 22 (6) | 68 (6) | 48 | 43 | 17 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monroe Bess | 16.30 | 16.73 | 16.55 | 46 | +0.25 | Steady but modest | |
| 2 | Unknown Alpha | 16.32 | 16.52 | 16.32 | 53 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Greencroft Rico | 16.22 | 16.56 | 16.88 | 45 | +0.66 | 3 C&D wins here | |
| 4 | Freeway Faye | 16.34 | 16.52 | 16.61 | 48 | +0.27 | Fader profile | |
| 5 | Burrow Amazing | 16.04 | 16.40 | 16.76 | 53 | +0.72 | Worst trap today | |
| 6 | Tommys Lotto | 16.18 | 16.44 | 16.49 | 54 | +0.31 | Fastest but poor draw |
Towcester's minimum trip is a genuine dash, over almost before it starts, and it plays quite differently to the track's blue-riband 500m round. In this D3 grade the inside has been doing the damage lately — trap 1 has won close to a quarter of these races and trap 2 not far behind, while traps 5 and 6 have been the ones to avoid, both stuck down in the low teens. That's a reversal of the usual wide-trap-friendly pattern seen in some Towcester sprints, so this grade genuinely rewards a middle-to-inside draw over raw early speed. Tommys Lotto looks the fastest and best-rated dog in the race on paper but he's drawn in the unfavoured trap 6 and is a confirmed hold-up runner over a trip that rarely lets closers finish their race — those two factors compound against him. Unknown Alpha, tucked in trap 2, carries the rating edge, matches the pace, and boasts a near-faultless course and distance record. Greencroft Rico, from trap 3, has won more races over this course and distance than anyone else in the field but arrives on the back of a below-par run last time out.
The best-rated dog in the field and drawn in the second-best box in this grade, which is about as good a combination as you'll find on a sprint card. Her recent form reads a string of seconds and thirds building towards a win — six runs newest to oldest of 32, 34, 33, 31, 27 and 25, a genuinely progressive shape rather than a spike. She's raced over this course and distance ten times, winning twice and placing in seven of them — about as proven as a dog gets at this specific test. Trainer D D Porter isn't flashy at 14% but keeps this filly ticking over consistently. The one they all have to catch.
Nobody in this field has won more races over this course and distance — three wins from ten starts here, a genuinely strong record at the exact test. The form has been solid without being spectacular, peaking at 35 a couple of runs back, but his last outing was below that (finished fifth) and he's the slowest of the fancied runners on the clock. Trap 3 has been a fair box in this grade, not spectacular but workable. If the pace up front falls apart he has the course knowledge to be involved, but he needs the run of the race more than the pick does.
Drawn in the trap that's produced the most winners in this grade at this trip, which counts for something, but the form doesn't back it up — recent finishes of third, third and fourth show she's competitive without ever threatening to win. Ten runs into her season and the trainer's overall strike rate sits in the mid-teens, nothing to get excited about. The draw keeps her in the shake-up but she needs more speed than she's shown to trouble the front two.
A confirmed early-pace merchant who tends to lead but weaken — she'll show up early from trap 4 but the profile suggests she gives it up in the closing stages, and over this minimum trip that fade rarely gets forgiven. Her rating dropped sharply when she came back down from open racing earlier in the year and she's settled into modest D3/D4 form since, currently the slowest recorded time of this six. Little in her recent record points to a leap forward tonight.
Sets the fastest time in the field on the clock and matches Unknown Alpha for speed rating, which on raw numbers alone would make her interesting. The problem is the draw — trap 5 has been the single worst box in this D3 grade at Towcester's minimum trip, winning barely one in eight races, and her own last-time run was well below her best. A veteran of nearly 300 races for this trainer, she knows the game but the numbers say this grade and trap combination is stacked against her tonight.
On raw figures he's the pick — top speed rating and top overall rating in the field — but two things work heavily against him. He's out in trap 6, the second-worst box in this D3 breakdown, and he's a confirmed hold-up runner who likes to finish from off the pace. Over this minimum trip there's rarely enough race left for a closer to make his run, especially from the widest box where he has to survive the first bend before he can even think about winding one up. The talent is obvious but the puzzle pieces don't fit together tonight.
Key insight: Speed Rank 1 wins 22.7% of D3 races here versus 20.5% for Composite Rank 1 — speed edges the model at this sprint trip, and trap 1 is comfortably the best draw with trap 5 the clear worst.
T1:23.0% T2:21.2% T3:20.5% T4:18.4% T5:13.3% T6:14.1%
2,206 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monroe Bess | 0.620 | 0.327 | — |
| 2 | Unknown Alpha | 0.612 | — | — |
| 3 | Greencroft Rico | 0.613 | — | — |
| 4 | Freeway Faye | 0.612 | 0.602 | — |
| 5 | Burrow Amazing | 0.608 | — | — |
| 6 | Tommys Lotto | 0.609 | — | 0.620 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.