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Total prize money on offer today is £4880 of which the BGRF contributed £350
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Eire Beetled 5y 25 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 12 (6) | 19 (4) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 19 (4) | 24 (3) | 18 (6) | 27 (3) | 24 (5) | 26 (4) | 29 | 29 | - | 10 | 19 | 19 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ferryforth Blueyb 3y 7 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 18 (4) | 20 (3) | 56 (2) | 50 (4) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 62 (1) | 51 (4) | 53 (4) | 34 (6) | 14 | 19 | - | - | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Havana Pepsib 2y 25 | B G Backhurst — 15% R226 W35 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 18 (5) | 31 (5) | 31 (5) | 41 (3) | 34 (3) | 35 (5) | 51 (1) | 38 (3) | 32 (4) | 32 (4) | 18 | - | - | - | 18 | 8 | 6 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kajoruns Bertd 4y 2 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 19 | 11 | 2 | 25/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Run Rachelb 6y 15 | M Mavrias — 13% R242 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 16 (6) | 15 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (2) | 19 (4) | 22 (2) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 30 | 30 | 50 | 38 | 22 | 25 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyhill Melodyb 3y 5 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 24 (3) | 22 (3) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 15 (6) | 32 (6) | 23 (2) | 19 (5) | 58 (6) | - | 36 | 28 | - | 4 | 22 | 25 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eire Beetle | 17.05 | 17.38 | 17.96 | 49 | +0.91 | Winless run of late | |
| 2 | Ferryforth Bluey | 17.44 | 17.49 | 17.53 | 47 | +0.09 | Class dropper, unproven at D5 | |
| 3 | Havana Pepsi | 17.56 | 17.56 | 17.56 | 43 | 0.00 | Dropped from A8 | |
| 4 | Kajoruns Bert | 17.60 | 17.60 | 17.60 | 41 | 0.00 | Worst trap, only 2 runs | |
| 5 | Run Rachel | 17.15 | 17.40 | 17.31 | 57 | +0.16 | Danger | |
| 6 | Hollyhill Melody | 16.98 | 17.41 | 17.46 | 57 | +0.48 | Model pick - best trap |
This D5 sprint is the weakest race on the card and there's little between most of this field on raw figures. Trap 6 has been the pick of the draws in this grade at 25.2% from 107 runs, with trap 4 the one to avoid at 15.2%. Hollyhill Melody, drawn in that prime box, shares the fastest recorded time in the field and has a trainer with a healthy strike rate. Run Rachel has the strongest suitability figures and the best course and distance record of anyone here, including a recent win, and looks the biggest danger. Ferryforth Bluey carries the highest average rating on paper after racing at a much higher grade a few months back, but her actual form back at this level has yet to produce a win.
Shares the fastest recorded time in the field and is drawn in trap 6, which has been the standout box in this D5 grade at 25.2% from 107 runs - the strongest structural combination on offer tonight. The trainer carries a healthy 28% strike rate, one of the better figures in a weak race. Form has been steady rather than spectacular, with three placed finishes from her last six starts, but this is a modest grade where a small edge in speed and trap can be enough to get the job done.
Boasts the strongest suitability figures for course, distance and class of anyone in this field, and has the best course and distance record too, with a win and four places from her last six runs at this exact combination. Shares the fastest recorded time with the top selection. A workmanlike sort who just needs things to fall right at the tricky first bend.
Vastly experienced at this course and distance but has struggled to convert that into results lately, without a win in her last six starts here. Carries the lowest suitability figures in the field for this exact distance. Others look sharper right now.
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field, but that number is inflated by a spell racing at a much higher A5/A6 grade a few months back - her actual form since dropping to this level has been modest, with a fourth and a third and no win yet. Worth watching in case the class edge eventually shows up, but not one to fully trust until she proves it at this level.
Recently dropped down from A8 grade at a longer trip and is only lightly proven at this course and distance with a single run. Strong finishing kick but starts slowly, a tough combination at a track where the first bend rewards those up with the pace early.
Only two runs on record and both well held, with the weakest trap in this grade to contend with too. Very little in the data to suggest he can trouble this field on his return.
Key insight: Trap 6 has been the standout box in this D5 grade at 25.2% from 107 runs, the best of any draw, with trap 4 the weakest at 15.2%.
T1:20.7% T2:20.8% T3:17.7% T4:15.2% T5:18.0% T6:25.2%
641 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eire Beetle | 0.627 | — | — |
| 2 | Ferryforth Bluey | 0.631 | — | 0.621 |
| 3 | Havana Pepsi | 0.634 | 0.628 | — |
| 4 | Kajoruns Bert | 0.635 | — | — |
| 5 | Run Rachel | 0.628 | — | — |
| 6 | Hollyhill Melody | 0.628 | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.