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Centenary Agri Tipperary Cup A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kelseys Roseb 2y 16 | - | - | 52 | - | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 63 (3) | 67 (3) | 51 (5) | 80 (1) | 41 (4) | 48 (2) | - | - | 2 | 38 | 25 | 46 | 68 | 51 | 3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bogger Bertd 2y 6 | - | - | 53 | - | 57 (5) | 61 (4) | 67 (3) | 44 (6) | 91 (1) | 56 (4) | 77 (1) | 78 (1) | 70 (2) | 52 (5) | 24 | 48 | 9 | 32 | 64 | 51 | 2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cabra Keiserd 4y 26 | - | - | 55 | - | 78 (2) | 84 (1) | 85 (1) | 60 (3) | 85 (1) | 89 (1) | 59 (5) | 61 (5) | 82 (2) | 74 (4) | 36 | 47 | 43 | 57 | 77 | 58 | 1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Charming Miked 2y 16 | - | - | 50 | - | 85 (1) | 61 (3) | 62 (3) | 53 (5) | 64 (2) | 82 (1) | 66 (2) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 70 (3) | 35 | 50 | 57 | 45 | 69 | 53 | 4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bull Run Beastd 3y 26 | - | - | 46 | - | 55 (5) | 46 (6) | 68 (4) | 79 (1) | 67 (3) | 61 (3) | 53 (3) | 62 (2) | 64 (3) | 83 (1) | 13 | 55 | 37 | 27 | 62 | 43 | 5 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Supersonic Tessb 1y 23 | - | - | 43 | - | 62 (4) | 73 (3) | 60 (4) | 70 (1) | 52 (4) | 53 (3) | - | - | - | - | 19 | 24 | - | 13 | 63 | 36 | 6 | - | |
Cabra Keiser is the selection in R8 as the clear composite leader and a multi-time A4 winner at Thurles Park. His composite of 58 leads the field by 5 points over Charming Mike. His avgPerformance of 77 is the highest in the field. His suitability profile is exceptional for this course and grade: track suitability 47 (highest), distance suitability 57 (highest), trap suitability 36 (joint highest), and class suitability 43 (second highest). Two A4 wins at Thurles in the past three months — 1st on 25 April from T1 and 1st on 21 March from T3 — demonstrate consistent excellence at this exact grade and course. He was beaten by Charming Mike on 23 May (finishing 2nd from T5), but his overall record at Thurles A4 is superior. Today he draws T3, a neutral position (16.0%, 381 runs at Thurles 525m), which is comparable to his previous winning draw of T3 in March. The condStack model gives him a maximum score of 10. With the highest composite, highest avgPerformance, best track and distance suitability, and multiple A4 wins at Thurles, Cabra Keiser is the most credible selection in R8.
Beat the pick on 23 May at Thurles A4. Three consecutive top-3 finishes at this grade and track. Composite 53 and avgPerformance 69 slightly trail Cabra Keiser. Primary danger.
Two recent wins at A5 level. T1 draw positive. Class raise from A5 to A4 is the key question against established A4 winners.
Best draw (T2), strong track suitability (48), but A4 form was 5th last time. A3 runner in A4 company.
Class drop from A2/A3 should help but three consecutive poor finishes and weakest draw make him unlikely to lead.
Consistent mid-field finisher in recent outings. Composite 36 and low distance suitability (13) suggest she will not challenge the leaders.
Cabra Keiser has two A4 wins at Thurles in the past three months. Charming Mike beat him last time on 23 May. Both have high suitability scores for this track and grade — a genuine rematch between the two leading runners determines the outcome.
T1:18.1% T2:18.7% T3:16.0% T4:17.3% T5:14.2% T6:16.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.