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Centenary Home & Garden A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aces Youngb 2y 6 | - | - | 50 | - | 66 (2) | 61 (3) | 76 (1) | 60 (2) | 65 (2) | 60 (5) | 75 (1) | 56 (5) | 45 (5) | 62 (3) | 39 | 27 | 13 | 38 | 64 | 50 | 3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Syonarab 1y 33 | - | - | 17 | - | 44 (5) | 42 (5) | 43 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 43 | 16 | 6 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coolisteigerubyb 2y 16 | - | - | 57 | - | 55 (5) | 64 (3) | 54 (4) | 67 (1) | 61 (2) | 54 (4) | 51 (5) | 57 (4) | - | - | - | - | 2 | 17 | 58 | 40 | 1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Footothefloord 2y 4 | - | - | 48 | - | 63 (2) | 45 (5) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 41 | 4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chiltern Cutieb 2y 5 | Gordon Rotheram — 60% R5 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 57 (3) | 78 (1) | 59 (2) | 56 (3) | 48 (3) | 60 (3) | 59 (2) | 52 (3) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 26 | 32 | 23 | 33 | 60 | 46 | 5 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Norden Raiderb 2y 15 | - | - | 52 | - | 63 (4) | 62 (3) | 64 (3) | 62 (3) | 55 (5) | 60 (4) | 48 (6) | 63 (4) | 71 (2) | 54 (5) | 19 | - | 2 | 10 | 61 | 39 | 2 | - | |
Chiltern Cutie is selected as the pick based on recent form at A5 level at Thurles and the condStack model's preference with a score of 9. She won an A5 at Thurles on 2 May from T5 — exactly the same draw as today — and has followed up with a 3rd in an A5 (30 May, T5) and a 2nd in an A6 at Thurles (18 April, T5). Three consecutive top-3 finishes all from T5 at Thurles is a remarkably consistent form line. Track suitability of 32 and distance suitability of 33 are solid. Trap suitability of 26 from T5 reflects her proven ability from this draw. Her avgPerformance of 60 and composite of 46 trail Aces Young (64 and 50) but the condStack formula weights her higher based on the consistency of her T5 form at Thurles A5 specifically. The T5 draw is historically the weakest at Thurles (14.2%, 388 runs) in general, but her personal record from T5 at this track is emphatically positive — three consecutive placings including a win. Form-specific evidence overrides the general trap bias in this case.
Highest composite (50) and avgPerformance (64). Three consecutive top-3 finishes. T1 draw. Primary danger to Chiltern Cutie.
Composite 0, speed 17, no recent relevant form. Best draw wasted on weakest runner in field.
Composite 40 third in field. Recent A5 form of 5th is not encouraging. Mid-field runner.
2nd in A5 at Thurles on 23 May is positive. Composite 41 and low suitability scores trail the leaders. Place threat.
Consistent placer with three top-4 finishes at Thurles. Composite 39 and T6 draw limit winning chances. Likely place finisher.
Low trap separation — form and composite lead selection. Aces Young leads on raw composite (50) but condStack selects Chiltern Cutie (score 9) who has a confirmed A5 win at Thurles from T5 last month and consistently places in the top half of the field.
T1:18.1% T2:18.7% T3:16.0% T4:17.3% T5:14.2% T6:16.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.