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Thurles Fresh Milk A6 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackboy Can Canb 4y 33 | - | - | 19 | - | 37 (5) | 29 (6) | 39 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 35 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ebonys Travisd 2y 24 | - | - | 49 | - | 58 (5) | 56 (4) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 28 | - | 20 | 60 | 38 | 3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cabra Kostasd 4y 23 | - | - | 53 | - | 62 (3) | 68 (2) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | 65 (3) | 68 (4) | 48 (6) | 78 (1) | 54 (4) | 63 (3) | 39 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 65 | 52 | 1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Amblerwayd 2y 28 | Gordon Rotheram — 60% R5 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 64 (2) | 44 (5) | 52 (5) | 76 (1) | 57 (4) | 55 (5) | 59 (4) | 71 (1) | 62 (2) | 63 (2) | 2 | 34 | 40 | 40 | 59 | 44 | 2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shahbazd 3y 35 | - | - | 47 | - | 75 (1) | 43 (6) | 61 (2) | 74 (1) | 74 (1) | 51 (3) | 59 (3) | 55 (4) | 47 (5) | 52 (4) | - | 30 | 51 | 44 | 61 | 29 | 5 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mumbai Pickled 3y 15 | - | - | 49 | - | 57 (4) | 39 (6) | 69 (2) | 58 (3) | 64 (2) | 60 (2) | 46 (6) | 69 (2) | 61 (4) | 76 (1) | 46 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 58 | 47 | 4 | - | |
Cabra Kostas is selected as the pick in R10 with the highest composite in the field at 52 and a significant class drop from A5 to A6 competition. He won an A5 at Thurles on 11 April from T1 — a win in genuinely harder company than today's A6 grade. His two most recent runs confirm competitive A5 form: 3rd in an A5 at Thurles on 23 May (T4) and 2nd in an A5 at Thurles on 25 April (T4). Three consecutive top-3 finishes in A5 company before stepping down to A6 is a compelling profile. His suitability scores are strong across the board: track suitability 36, distance suitability 33, trap suitability 39 from T3, and class suitability 35. These balanced figures confirm Thurles Park affinity at this distance. Speed of 53 is solid at 525m. The T3 draw is neutral at Thurles (16.0%, 381 runs). While not the condStack model's top pick, the raw composite leadership, the class drop, and the consistent A5 form make Cabra Kostas the most reliable selection on the final race of the card.
Most recent A6 Thurles form — 2nd last week. condStack pick at score 8. Distance suitability 40 highest in field. Composite 44 trails Cabra Kostas but A6 form is very fresh.
Five-month absence, composite 1, avgPerformance 35. The weakest form runner in R10 despite the T1 draw.
Best T2 draw and N3 winner at Thurles in January. Recent A5 form of 5th and 4th. Class drop to A6 should help. Place threat.
A6 Thurles winner in February but four months off since. T5 weakest draw. Composite 29 is below field leaders. Speculative after the layoff.
Composite 47 second in field. 2nd in A6 at Thurles in April. High T6 trap suitability. Place prospect rather than likely winner given composite gap to the pick.
Cabra Kostas composite 52 leads field clearly. Class drop from A5 to A6 adds confidence. Amblerway is the condStack pick with recent A6 2nd at Thurles. T3 and T4 draws are similar in low-separation conditions.
T1:18.1% T2:18.7% T3:16.0% T4:17.3% T5:14.2% T6:16.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.