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The Comerford Bros A4/A5 600 Round 1 Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bawn Jetd 2y 34 | - | - | 42 | - | 57 (4) | 71 (4) | 33 (6) | 50 (4) | 60 (6) | 73 (4) | 58 (5) | 88 (1) | 67 (3) | 56 (5) | 28 | 25 | - | - | 59 | 29 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Guitar Georged 2y 43 | Kevin Marmion — 60% R5 W3 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 59 (6) | 71 (2) | 72 (3) | 57 (3) | 45 (4) | 57 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 61 | 1 | 3 | 5/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killeshil Glamb 3y 33 | Vincent Lynch — 29% R24 W7 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 44 (5) | 70 (1) | 58 (3) | 49 (4) | 56 (3) | 52 (3) | 58 (5) | 53 (4) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 17 | 26 | - | - | 56 | 25 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kuma Targaryenb 2yN/R 43 | - | - | 51 | - | 56 (5) | 69 (2) | 83 (1) | 70 (3) | 77 (2) | 70 (4) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 86 (1) | 57 (5) | 30 | 54 | 55 | - | 73 | 31 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Roanna Justind 2yN/R 24 | Ian Reilly — 16% R63 W10 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 76 (3) | 62 (5) | 58 (5) | 85 (1) | 62 (3) | 85 (1) | - | - | - | - | 28 | 10 | - | - | 71 | 31 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Towns Prided 2y 33 | David Murray — 17% R70 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 65 (3) | 49 (3) | 69 (3) | 71 (3) | 85 (1) | 66 (1) | 65 (1) | 52 (3) | 62 (1) | 43 (3) | 51 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 64 | 37 | 1 | 5/4JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kuma Targaryen | 33.36 | 33.63 | 34.06 | 51 | +0.70 | Highest avg rating | |
| 5 | Roanna Justin | 33.57 | 33.69 | 33.63 | 53 | +0.06 | Drops from A3 | |
| 2 | Guitar George | 33.42 | 33.65 | 33.71 | 55 | +0.29 | Top trainer | |
| 6 | Towns Pride | 33.36 | 33.80 | 34.01 | 48 | +0.65 | Best suitability | |
| 1 | Bawn Jet | 33.51 | 34.13 | 33.85 | 42 | +0.34 | 550m -> 600m | |
| 3 | Killeshil Glam | 33.87 | 33.87 | 33.87 | 42 | 0.00 | Slowest in field |
Mullingar's 600-metre races remain a thin sample across tonight's card — barely three dozen runs on file for this exact grade and trip — so, as with the earlier staying races, course-and-distance suitability, class movement and genuine recent peaks carry more weight here than the usual trap-and-speed read, which simply doesn't have enough data behind it to trust blindly. Towns Pride from the black jacket and Roanna Justin from the orange jacket both have realistic claims to force the pace, and with the trap data too thin to trust, the running order here is likely to be shaped by class and recent peaks rather than the draw. Towns Pride's outstanding suitability reading at this course and distance gives it the nod, but Roanna Justin's drop out of A3 grade off a recent peak in the mid-80s makes it a serious threat if that superior class shows through early. Kuma Targaryen, with the highest average rating in the field, cannot be ruled out either if its below-par latest effort proves a blip rather than a trend.
Finished third last time out over 550 metres with a fair rating, and the six-run form line has been solid if unspectacular — a standout effort in the mid-80s a couple of races back shows the ceiling is there when it clicks. What makes the case here is the suitability profile: the trap figure at this course and distance is comfortably the strongest of anyone in the field, backed up by a fair track reading too, suggesting genuine affinity for this exact combination even without a flashy recent line. Trainer David Murray's record in these conditions is modest, around one in eight, which tempers the overall picture slightly. The trap data itself is far too thin at this grade and trip to lean on with confidence, though this dog's own personal record from the black jacket is the standout number in the race. The strongest structural case in a field where nothing stands out hugely on raw pace, built on suitability and honest, if unspectacular, recent form.
Drops down from A3 grade off a third-placed run at that tougher level, which is a genuine positive when judging what this dog can do against tonight's opposition. The form is volatile — two runs rated in the mid-80s sit alongside a couple of more modest efforts — but the peaks show real ability, and volatile form with a recent proven ceiling is a case to take seriously rather than dismiss. Trainer Ian Reilly has a fair strike rate in these conditions. Carries a reasonable time on the clock, not the fastest in the field but competitive. The class drop combined with a genuine recent peak makes this the clearest threat to the suitability-led selection tonight.
Carries the highest average rating in this entire field, built on a strong run of form that peaked in the low 80s a few starts back, though the most recent effort was some way below that standard over 525 metres. The suitability profile stands out too, with strong class and track readings at this course, suggesting the underlying ability and affinity are both genuinely there. No trainer statistics are logged for this connection. The clock backs up a competitive if unremarkable time. On the numbers this arguably has the strongest raw case in the race, and only a slightly flat recent run keeps it from top billing tonight.
Drops down from A3 grade after a well-beaten run at that level, but the form before that was considerably stronger, with a couple of runs in the low 70s in recent memory. The standout here is the trainer: Kevin Marmion's strike rate in these conditions is exceptional, comfortably the best of any connection in this race, which suggests real confidence in this booking despite the underwhelming latest run. No meaningful trap suitability history is logged at this course. A competitive time on the clock, sitting mid-pack for pace. The trainer angle alone makes this worth including in calculations even though the most recent form line reads poorly.
Finished fourth last time out over 550 metres, and the recent form has been genuinely volatile — a couple of efforts in the low 70s sit alongside a very poor run in the 30s. Carries a fair suitability reading at this course, with the track figure the standout number. No trainer statistics are available. The recorded time is towards the slower end of the field. An honest but inconsistent sort without the standout structural edge of the leading contenders tonight.
A well-beaten fifth last time out over 550 metres, though the form a few runs back was considerably better, touching the high 60s and low 70s. Carries a modest suitability reading at this course. Trainer Vincent Lynch has a fair strike rate in these conditions. The recorded time is the slowest in the field, which is a concern given the modest recent form. The clearest outsider in the race on both the clock and the latest run.
Key insight: As with the earlier 600m race tonight, the sample at this exact grade and trip is too small to trust — neither the top-rated dog nor the fastest dog on the clock has won yet in the tiny recorded history, so suitability and class movement are the more trustworthy guides.
Sample far too thin to trust (5-7 runs per trap) — trap 4 shows 33% from a handful of runs, not a reliable pattern.
35 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 600m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 600m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (600m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 400m | 525m | 550m | 600m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bawn Jet | — | — | 0.569 | 0.569 | — | — |
| 2 | Guitar George | 0.566 | — | 0.561 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Killeshil Glam | — | — | 0.573 | 0.571 | 0.564 | — |
| 4 | Kuma Targaryen | — | — | 0.561 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Roanna Justin | — | 0.540 | 0.561 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Towns Pride | — | — | 0.572 | 0.560 | 0.563 | 0.574 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.