This Runs Deep A7 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ World Of Goodb 1y 13 | David Murray — 17% R70 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | - | 50 (3) | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 20 | - | 18 | 50 | 53 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Aim Welld 1y 13 | - | - | 1 | - | 37 (4) | 26 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 32 | 6 | 4 | 1/2F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Clonearl Lunab 1y 2 | - | - | - | - | 42 (5) | 56 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 48 | 36 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shapeupd 2y 32 | - | - | 44 | - | 49 (3) | 43 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 46 | 17 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Knockmant Arrowd 1y 31 | Ronan Colgan — 25% R8 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 52 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 52 | 33 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lowtown Odysseyd 4y 55 | - | - | 56 | - | 46 (2) | 41 (4) | 45 (3) | 42 (3) | 43 (4) | 47 (3) | 47 (3) | 57 (2) | 36 (4) | 62 (1) | - | 18 | 11 | 23 | 45 | 21 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | World Of Good | 29.78 | 29.78 | 29.78 | 78 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Lowtown Odyssey | 30.11 | 30.39 | 30.11 | 56 | 0.00 | Worst trap | |
| 4 | Shapeup | 30.46 | 30.46 | 30.46 | 44 | 0.00 | Long layoff | |
| 3 | Clonearl Luna | No recorded time at this track and distance yet. | — | No time on file | ||||
| 5 | Knockmant Arrow | No recorded time — one graded start only. | — | No time on file | ||||
| 2 | Aim Well | 31.36 | 31.36 | 31.36 | 1 | 0.00 | Slowest in field | |
Mullingar runs solely over 525 and 600 metres and carries no logged first-bend interference data for the venue, so trap position and raw pace have to do the talking rather than running-style comments. At A7 grade over 525 metres the red jacket has been the strongest draw, winning close to one in six from a decent sample, while the black jacket has been the outright graveyard box, managing barely one in sixteen. A7 is also historically one of the weakest grades anywhere for trusting the ratings — the top-rated dog on paper wins only around one in ten here, well below the norm — so this is a race where the clock matters more than the composite score. World Of Good, drawn in that strong red box and comfortably the fastest recorded time in the field, looks the one to click into gear from the first bend, with Lowtown Odyssey the closest thing to it on raw pace despite carrying the worst draw, and Knockmant Arrow the wildcard on a single big rating from a sharp yard.
Last time out this one raced at the grade above over 600 metres and finished third with a solid, honest rating — two graded runs on file, both in a tight, unremarkable band, nothing flashy but nothing wrong with it either. What really stands out is the clock: this is comfortably the fastest dog in the race on recorded times, clear of everything else here, and the ratings agree, sitting top of the pack on the numbers too. Drawn in the red jacket, which has been the strongest box at this grade and trip at Mullingar, winning close to one in six compared with barely one in sixteen from the black jacket at the far end. Trainer David Murray's record in these conditions is modest, around one in eight, but the raw speed and the good draw both point the same way. Composite leaders are generally unreliable at this level here — barely a one-in-ten strike rate — so this is more a speed-and-trap case than a ratings lock, but when the two genuine positives land on the same dog, that carries real weight.
Only one graded run on file so far, a fourth-placed effort at novice grade last month that produced the highest rating anyone in this race has managed — genuinely limited evidence that shouldn't be oversold, but the number itself stands out. Trainer Ronan Colgan boasts the best strike rate of any connection in this race, close to three in ten in these conditions, a real positive when the form itself is so thin. No recorded time or speed figure exists yet to compare against the market leader, which is the obvious gap in the case. Drawn in a reasonable if unremarkable box for this grade and trip — mid-table in the trap data, neither an advantage nor a concern. On the one number available, and with a sharp trainer behind it, this looks the most likely runner to trouble the selection, but it comes with a genuine health warning given how little there is to judge it on.
Two runs on file, both towards the bottom end for this level — the latest a well-beaten effort at the grade above, following an even softer performance the time before that — and the clock backs up the modest figures, recording by some distance the slowest time of anyone in this race. No trainer statistics are available to lean on either. There isn't a specific trap concern here — the blue jacket sits around the middle of the pack in this grade and trip — but with nothing else in its favour it is hard to build a case. Outclassed on the numbers that matter most and up against it against a field with faster recorded form.
Fresh out of the grade reserved for Irish young dogs, finishing fifth last time with a moderate rating — solid enough for a newcomer, but there is no recorded time on file to judge the raw speed against sharper, more experienced rivals here. Drawn in the white jacket, which has actually been an above-average box in this exact grade and trip at Mullingar. No trainer statistics are available. Still finding her feet in graded company and facing tougher opposition than she has met so far — an interesting watch for the future rather than a play tonight.
Steps up a grade off the back of a third-placed effort more than two months ago — a sizeable gap since that run, which raises a genuine question over sharpness. The recorded time is modest, more than a second and a half off the fastest dog in this race on the clock. Drawn in a fair box for the grade — not the best, not the worst — so the draw is not the deciding factor here. Facing a tougher level than the one it was competing at two months ago, and the lengthy absence doesn't help the case.
Six recent runs on file, all graded, all steady in a tight band with a placed effort last time out — reliable if unspectacular form, and notably the second-fastest recorded time in this whole race behind only the selection. The concern is the draw: the black jacket has been the outright graveyard box at this grade and trip, winning barely one in sixteen compared with nearly one in six from the red jacket at the opposite end. Stepping up a grade off the back of that run adds a further test. Enough raw pace to be involved early, but fighting the worst draw in the race from a step up in company is a significant obstacle to overcome.
Key insight: Composite leaders have won barely one in ten races at this exact grade and trip — one of the weakest hit rates on file for Mullingar — while the fastest dog on the clock wins closer to one in six, so raw speed is doing more work than the ratings here.
Trap 1 best at 16.78% (143 runs), trap 6 worst at 6.21% (145 runs) — one of the widest trap gaps at this track.
830 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | World Of Good | — | 0.570 | 0.567 |
| 2 | Aim Well | — | 0.594 | — |
| 3 | Clonearl Luna | — | 0.570 | — |
| 4 | Shapeup | — | 0.579 | — |
| 5 | Knockmant Arrow | — | 0.569 | — |
| 6 | Lowtown Odyssey | 0.570 | 0.579 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.