Restaurant Bookings A3 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calm Aced 3y 23 | George Matthews(NI) — 18% R17 W3 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 44 (6) | 62 (4) | 86 (1) | 73 (2) | 55 (3) | 77 (1) | 80 (1) | 48 (4) | 50 (5) | 69 (3) | 28 | 32 | 22 | 29 | 64 | 40 | 6 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Annie Upb 1y 12 | Damian Maginn(NI) — 10% R20 W2 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 75 (2) | 65 (3) | 36 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 45 | 3 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fairy Spellb 3y 33 | Brendan Mullan(NI) — 14% R21 W3 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 59 (5) | 70 (3) | 64 (4) | 59 (5) | 69 (2) | 49 (5) | 61 (3) | 42 (5) | 64 (4) | 55 (5) | 1 | 13 | - | 13 | 61 | 37 | 5 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Panda Jackd 3y 32 | - | - | 48 | - | 49 (6) | 61 (6) | 71 (4) | 75 (2) | 71 (1) | 46 (2) | 56 (5) | 66 (4) | 51 (2) | - | 24 | 18 | - | 20 | 61 | 25 | 4 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Donishall Gemb 1y 34 | - | - | 60 | - | 68 (3) | 77 (3) | 76 (2) | 68 (2) | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 12 | 29 | 67 | 48 | 1 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Laoises Petb 3y 34 | John McQuillan(NI) — 9% R23 W2 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 71 (2) | 82 (1) | 65 (1) | 74 (2) | 39 (5) | 58 (6) | 69 (3) | 64 (3) | 75 (2) | 53 (5) | 34 | - | 20 | 39 | 67 | 23 | 2 | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Panda Jack | 29.00 | 29.55 | 29.74 | 50 | +0.74 | 5 weeks off | |
| 3 | Sillypup | 29.05 | 29.56 | 29.69 | 49 | +0.64 | Down from A2 | |
| 1 | Calm Ace | 29.18 | 29.50 | 29.80 | 47 | +0.62 | Form mixed | |
| 6 | Laoises Pet | 29.18 | 29.60 | 29.18 | 54 | 0.00 | First time here | |
| 5 | Donishall Gem | 29.19 | 29.20 | 29.21 | 62 | +0.02 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Annie Up | 29.38 | 29.42 | 29.45 | 51 | +0.07 | Improving |
The deepest of the 525-metre races — five of the six have posted winning-calibre figures this summer and the ratings are tightly bunched, with no historical Dundalk trap data to separate them structurally. Donishall Gem brings the most dependable profile: placed in four straight runs including seconds over this course and distance, with times so consistent you could set a watch by them. Annie Up is the improver after a close second at this grade last week. Calm Ace and Sillypup both own huge peak figures — Calm Ace won at this grade in June with one of the biggest numbers in the field — but both arrive on the back of poor runs. Panda Jack has the fastest best time but five weeks off, and Laoises Pet brings strong form that was all earned at other tracks. Little between them to the first bend; sustained pace and reliability should sort it out late.
The metronome of the field — his best, average and latest times all sit within two hundredths of a second, comfortably the most repeatable clock in the race, and his speed figure is the best here too. Both of his course and distance starts produced second places, and he has finished in the frame in four straight runs including twice over a longer trip that will have him fit as a flea for this. He has not actually won in that sequence, which is the honest knock, but in a race where the big-figure dogs keep alternating brilliance with blanks, the one who never runs a bad race is the percentage call.
The one on the upgrade — a close second at this grade last week with the best figure of her short career, a third at the same level before that, and barely any daylight between her three recorded times. Only three career runs means she is improving faster than anyone here, and another step forward of the size she just took wins this race. The thin body of evidence is all that keeps her from being the selection.
Won at this grade in June with one of the biggest figures in the field, and his nine course and distance runs include two wins and three placed efforts — the ability is beyond doubt. But he was last of six most recently and his form swings violently from brilliant to blank. If the good version turns up he beats these comfortably; predicting which version arrives is the whole trick, and the recent evidence is discouraging.
Drops back from A2 company where he was competitive without threatening, and his win at this grade in early June came with the single biggest performance figure in this field. Ten course and distance runs give him more local knowledge than anyone. Last time out he was sixth at the higher grade, which the class relief largely excuses — he is very much in the mix if he bounces back, though he has made a habit lately of finding one or two too good.
The fastest best time in the field at 29.00 and a solid body of form against this level and above — six course and distance runs include a win and three placed efforts, so the track holds no fears. But he has not been seen since finishing last at this grade in early June, a five-week absence that asks a fitness question nobody can answer until the traps open. Freshened up and back to his spring self, he is dangerous; the layoff keeps him off the top line.
Strong recent form — a second and before that a win at neighbouring grades in May, with a sharp best time — but every yard of it was earned at other venues: she has never raced at Dundalk. First-time track visits are a genuine unknown even for classy dogs, and she has also been off since the end of May. The ability to win this is real; the evidence she will do it here, first time, after a break, is lacking.
Key insight: Sample is the field's own combined course-and-distance runs (29) — no track-level historical database exists for Dundalk yet. Tightly bunched contest — the pick combines the top speed figure with the most repeatable times in a field where the big-figure dogs keep mixing their form.
No historical trap data for Dundalk yet
29 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 620m | 820m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calm Ace | 0.552 | 0.562 | — | — |
| 2 | Annie Up | 0.551 | 0.560 | — | — |
| 3 | Fairy Spell | — | 0.564 | 0.557 | — |
| 4 | Panda Jack | 0.555 | 0.563 | — | — |
| 5 | Donishall Gem | — | 0.557 | 0.553 | — |
| 6 | Laoises Pet | — | 0.564 | — | 0.576 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.