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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Natalieb 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R623 W99 P348 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 60 | 63 (3) | 57 (3) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 58 (3) | 57 (2) | 65 (1) | 46 (3) | 25 (4) | 26 (3) | 32 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 47 | 42 | 4 | 7/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Lilac Ladyb 3y 5 | I J Barnard — 22% R264 W58 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 49 | 54 (2) | 47 (2) | 18 (5) | 57 (3) | 42 (2) | 67 (4) | 39 (3) | 46 (5) | 39 (4) | - | 25 | 27 | 45 | 25 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 20/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Bedazzled Bulletd 2y 16 | K L Windebank — 17% R543 W92 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 43 | 61 (3) | 67 (1) | 50 (3) | 60 (3) | 59 (2) | 58 (2) | 48 (2) | 48 (4) | 43 (5) | - | 59 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 10/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Value Addedd 2y 10 | E G Samuels — 16% R623 W99 P348 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 56 | 85 (1) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 43 (5) | 67 (3) | 75 (1) | 69 (1) | 60 (2) | 57 (2) | 64 (2) | 67 | 63 | 38 | 61 | 60 | 61 | 1 | 6/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Abbeyside Codyd 3yN/R 4 | L Brown — 16% R118 W19 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | 38 | 41 | 40 (5) | 47 (4) | 64 (1) | 48 (4) | 36 (5) | 33 (4) | 39 (5) | 58 (5) | 46 (3) | - | 12 | 28 | 20 | 15 | 48 | 38 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Heflewanoceand 3y 14 | K L Windebank — 17% R543 W92 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 53 | 60 (3) | 44 (1) | 42 (6) | 64 (5) | 59 (3) | 58 (3) | 62 (1) | 65 (3) | - | - | 30 | 41 | 11 | 31 | 58 | 50 | 2 | 11/8 | ||
Value Added is the model's pick on the strength of the best overall suitability profile in the field — track 63, distance 61, trap 67 are all comfortably the highest in the race. That triple alignment of venue, distance and trap familiarity is unusual and tells you this dog knows exactly where he is and how to run here. His form has been remarkably consistent — six consecutive seconds, posting 60, 57, 64, 61, 64 and 65 — and that string of runner-up finishes at A6 and even A3 level suggests he's knocking on the door. An average of 60 is the best in the field. His fading profile is a concern at Yarmouth where front runners rarely win, but the consistency of his figures suggests he doesn't completely die on his runs — more of a controlled fade than a collapse. Trap 4 is neutral at A6 (20.48%). Trainer E G Samuels at 26% is solid. In a low-separation race, his proven suitability and remarkable consistency give him the edge.
Drawn in the dominant trap with the best individual trap record in the field — the key danger in a race where the model can't separate the runners.
Will lead early from the rail with the best bend speed but the step up to A6 and the fading profile leave her vulnerable in the straight.
Experienced at this grade with solid consistency but lacks the peak ability to win — should be involved for the minor places.
Poor recent form, poor suitability, and a weak draw — faces a tough ask to feature in the frame tonight.
Dropping in grade with solid A5 form but the weaker suitability profile and below-average draw leave him chasing the pick — place contender.
1,395 runs. LOW SEPARATION — composite rank 1 wins at 21.72% and rank 3 wins at 20.85%, just a 0.87pp gap. The model's own data says it can barely separate dogs at this grade. Trap 3 dominates at 24.64% from 211 runs — the strongest structural signal in this race. Trap 5 and 6 are the weakest draws. In low-separation races, suitability and trap bias become the primary factors.
T1:20% T2:20.49% T3:24.64% T4:20.48% T5:16.77% T6:16.44%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Natalie | 63 | 39 | Fader |
2Lilac Lady | 50 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3Bedazzled Bullet | 45 | 65 | Closer |
4Value Added | 59 | 42 | Fader |
5Abbeyside Cody | 44 | 58 | Closer |
6Heflewanocean | 50 | 62 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.