Golden Acre is the model's pick on the strength of a high average performance of 77 — comfortably the best in the field. That figure is boosted by two sensational back-to-back wins at open race level posting 95 each time. His most recent runs have been a step down — 61 for third and 59 for fourth at open level — but even those moderate efforts are competitive for an IT field. He's a fader with extreme early pace which is ordinarily a concern at Yarmouth, but his quality advantage over this opposition is substantial enough that even with some late weakening he could hold the lead. Trainer M P Brown at 24% is steady. The distance suitability of 0 is the concern — his competitive wins have been at 388 metres and he's untried over 462 metres in a proper race. If he stays the trip, the class does the rest.