| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Homesick Bluesb 3y 8 | E G Samuels — 16% R639 W102 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 38 (4) | 27 (5) | 40 (3) | 38 (2) | 31 (5) | 50 (4) | 33 (1) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | - | 18 | 23 | - | 25 | 33 | 29 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rules Dont Applyd 1yN/R 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R639 W102 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 36 | 57 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (1) | 32 (4) | 32 (4) | 25 (4) | 38 (3) | - | - | - | 35 | 49 | - | 30 | 31 | 33 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Take The Floorb 4y 44 | J M Ray — 16% R199 W32 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 21 (5) | 35 (1) | 55 (5) | 69 (2) | 47 (1) | 42 (3) | 61 (5) | 61 (3) | 46 (2) | - | 45 | 30 | - | 30 | 50 | 45 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Juniord 2y 6 | K L Windebank — 16% R553 W90 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 62 | 24 (4) | 15 (2) | 41 (3) | 34 (4) | 46 (5) | 25 (3) | 41 (4) | 57 (4) | 52 (2) | - | 34 | 31 | - | 15 | 36 | 33 | 4 | 10/11F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Late Lowryb 2y 43 | J M Ray — 16% R199 W32 P112 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 40 | 7 (5) | 39 (4) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 42 (4) | 40 (4) | 38 (4) | 32 (6) | 38 (5) | 35 (3) | 35 | 18 | - | 18 | 42 | 36 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Melbury Lokid 2y 10 | M P Brown — 21% R403 W83 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 72 (1) | 60 (1) | 37 (5) | 45 (3) | 38 (4) | 42 (4) | 38 (4) | 11 (4) | 52 (6) | - | 26 | 25 | - | 24 | 47 | 39 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
Take The Floor gets the model's nod as the best overall profile in a weak IT field. His competitive form from A6 and A7 level at other venues is significantly stronger than anything else on offer here — won at A6 posting 69, and managed 55 for second at A6. He ran 47 and 42 at lower levels too, giving him a consistent base of competitive runs that the others simply don't have. An all-rounder with good early pace and decent closing ability, he can dictate this race from the front if he breaks well from trap 3. Won his trial here on Saturday showing he handles the track. The average performance of 50 is the best in the field and his speed and bend ratings of 50 and 54 are solid. Trainer J M Ray at 16% is modest but the dog's competitive experience should prove decisive against largely unproven opposition.
Best raw speed in the field by some distance — the danger if he can translate clock speed into competitive ability.
Has pace but the fading profile and weak competitive record make it very hard to see him finishing the job at any level.
Minimal competitive experience and the weakest form in the field — needs significant improvement to factor.
Moderate competitive form but below-average speed and poor venue familiarity — minor place claims at best.
Talented on his day but the recent dramatic form decline raises serious concerns — impossible to back with confidence until he shows something.
52 IT runs — meaningless sample size. Composite rank 1 barely separates from the pack. This is a true lottery race in an introductory grade where none of the runners have proven competitive form. Trust the model's rating and accept significant uncertainty.
T1:0% T2:25% T3:0% T4:27.27% T5:11.11% T6:22.22%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Homesick Blues | 0 | 42 | Fader |
2Rules Dont Apply | 0 | 43 | Fader |
3Take The Floor | 100 | 68 | All-Rounder |
4Harlequin Junior | 13 | 28 | Fader |
5Late Lowry | 87 | 85 | All-Rounder |
6Melbury Loki | 99 | 57 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 388m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Homesick Blues | — | — | 0.639 |
| 3 | Take The Floor | — | 0.638 | 0.630 |
| 4 | Harlequin Junior | 0.614 | — | 0.630 |
| 5 | Late Lowry | — | 0.647 | 0.661 |
| 6 | Melbury Loki | — | 0.633 | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.