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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gambetd 3y 8 | C R Morris — 28% R257 W72 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | 93 (1) | 93 (1) | 76 (3) | 75 (2) | 57 (4) | 88 (1) | 75 (2) | 77 (3) | 66 (4) | 92 (1) | 47 | 40 | 38 | 38 | 79 | 66 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Peppered Bedlamd 2y 7 | K J Cobbold — 24% R155 W37 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | 38 | 54 | 45 (6) | 76 (2) | 81 (2) | 86 (1) | 57 (5) | 52 (4) | 86 (1) | 81 (2) | 65 (4) | 69 (2) | 32 | 64 | 45 | 49 | 70 | 62 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Roanna Twostroked 3y 17 | P I Cross — 19% R151 W28 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 32 | 82 (2) | 73 (4) | 53 (4) | 79 (5) | 57 (2) | 86 (5) | 54 (1) | 66 (5) | 59 (4) | - | 47 | 49 | 15 | 43 | 69 | 61 | 4 | 11/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Kilara Reaperd 2y 16 | I J Barnard — 21% R275 W58 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 94 (1) | 72 (3) | 70 (3) | 89 (1) | 61 (3) | 75 (5) | 79 (2) | 73 (2) | 85 (2) | - | 35 | 41 | 34 | 39 | 71 | 60 | 5 | 11/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Rockmount Nellieb 2y 16 | C R Morris — 28% R257 W72 P173 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 63 | 27 (4) | 36 (2) | 92 (1) | 72 (2) | 77 (2) | 87 (1) | 35 (2) | 48 (6) | 75 (2) | 93 (1) | 56 | 100 | 65 | 82 | 73 | 75 | 1 | 8/11F | ||
Rockmount Nellie is the form horse of the meeting, posting outstanding figures in her last four competitive starts — 92 to win an open race last week, preceded by a 72 (second at A1), 78 (second at A1), and 87 (won A2). That sequence of high-performance runs marks her out as the classiest dog on the Yarmouth card tonight. Her suitability profile is exceptional — perfect track suitability of 100, outstanding distance suitability of 82, and the best class suitability in the field at 65. She's a fader by running style, which is ordinarily a concern at Yarmouth where front runners win only 20% of races, but her quality advantage over this field is so commanding that even allowing for some late weakening, she should be too far clear to catch. Trainer C R Morris operates at 30% — one of the best at the venue. The only real worry is that Peppered Bedlam pushes her too hard early and the closers close up the gap in the straight. But on raw ability, she's head and shoulders above this field.
Top-class closer from a strong trainer who will benefit most if the faders weaken — the clear danger to the pick with very similar ability.
Talented fader with big days in her but the extreme pace profile leaves her vulnerable to the closers at a track that punishes front runners.
Capable closer from the best draw but a notch below the top two on overall quality — place claims rather than win.
Consistent all-rounder but lacks the peak ability to win at A1 level against this quality of opposition — more of a place runner.
1,527 runs. Same A1 profile as Race 1 — trap 3 marginally the strongest, trap 5 the weakest. Composite rank 1 wins at 25% with decent separation. Yarmouth's 20% all-the-way rate means the two faders in this race face a statistical headwind, but a quality fader can still hold if the class gap is wide enough.
T1:19.23% T2:20.75% T3:21.88% T4:18.12% T5:16.39% T6:18.63%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Gambet | 49 | 57 | Closer |
2Peppered Bedlam | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Roanna Twostroke | 33 | 76 | Closer |
4Kilara Reaper | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Rockmount Nellie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.