| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blue Gemstoned 4y 16 | P J R Steward — 19% R177 W34 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 41 | 59 (2) | 60 (3) | 45 (5) | 64 (2) | 50 (3) | 60 (3) | 70 (1) | 49 (3) | 71 (1) | 46 (5) | 32 | 40 | 42 | 31 | 59 | 48 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Nametab Anitab 3y 17 | S A Saberton — 23% R394 W90 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 48 (4) | 50 (3) | 62 (2) | 54 (2) | 64 (3) | 72 (1) | 42 (4) | 57 (2) | 55 (4) | 52 (5) | 57 | 57 | 48 | 43 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 1/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Jakes Worldb 2y 10 | S A Saberton — 23% R394 W90 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 59 | 57 (2) | 33 (1) | 56 (2) | 51 (4) | 41 (5) | 36 (5) | 73 (1) | 60 (2) | 28 (3) | 60 (2) | 51 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 44 | 47 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Munie Memoriesb 4y 25 | P Ward — 15% R218 W33 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 51 | 42 (5) | 59 (2) | 69 (1) | 41 (4) | 65 (1) | 48 (2) | 51 (2) | 38 (5) | 47 (2) | 44 (5) | 32 | 32 | 37 | 29 | 52 | 43 | 4 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Fort Peled 4y 44 | P Clarke — 14% R523 W75 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 33 (4) | 60 (3) | 38 (2) | 35 (1) | 34 (2) | 39 (2) | 33 (1) | 19 (1) | 49 (5) | - | 51 | 38 | 42 | 44 | 39 | 42 | 5 | 9/4 | |
PICK. Bend R1 + Speed R1 at Harlow 415m where these two factors convert at the highest rate of any UK track. The avgP of 44 is below the field leaders but the improving form trajectory tells the real story: D4(P3) then A6(P2) then A6(P1) — that's a dog hitting form at exactly the right time. Peak performance of 70 from that recent A6 P1 proves he can compete at this level. C&D form of 1w/2p from 2 runs (100% place rate, small sample but encouraging). The bend advantage is the decisive factor at this track — 28.6% Bend R1 conversion means the best-bending dog wins nearly 3 times more than random chance. The T4 draw is neutral but the bend skill means he'll negotiate the first turn effectively regardless.
Joint-highest avgP in the field at 59 with an impressive peak of 73 and C&D form of 2 wins from 6 runs. The T1 draw provides rail advantage through 4 bends. However — and this is the critical issue — Bend R5 is the worst bend rating in the field at a track where Bend R1 converts at 28.6%. At Harlow 415m, being the worst bender is a structural mismatch that undermines even strong raw performance. Recent form of A5(P3), A6(P1), A6(P4), A5(P4) shows class but inconsistency. The rail draw helps compensate somewhat for the poor bending, but it's not enough to overcome the fundamental bend disadvantage against Jakes World.
Joint-highest avgP at 59 with peak of 72 and the best suitability scores in the field (track 57, trap 57, class 48). Bend R2 is a solid profile for this track. C&D form of 1 win from 6 runs is modest for a dog of this quality — 6 attempts with just one win suggests she's competitive but not dominant at this specific configuration. Recent form shows mostly A5/A6 P3-P5 finishes with an A6 P1 mixed in. The Closer pace profile is a concern at this tight track. A genuine contender but the inconsistent C&D record and Closer profile put her behind the bend-speed combination of Jakes World.
DANGER. The structural play in this race — T5 draw (26.2% win rate, best trap at Harlow 415m) combined with excellent C&D credentials of 2 wins and 4 places from 6 runs (67% place rate). AvgP of 52 puts her Performance R3 which is respectable. Bend R3 is adequate. Peak of 69 shows she has run to a high standard. The T5 advantage compounds through 4 bends — each turn provides a positional gain that accumulates. If Jakes World has any trouble at the first bend, Munie Memories is perfectly positioned to capitalise from the dominant draw.
Zero wins from 6 C&D runs is the standout negative statistic. At a track where course & distance form is highly predictive (Comp R1 wins 35.5%), having 6 attempts without a win strongly suggests this configuration doesn't suit. AvgP of 48 and peak of 62 show competence rather than dominance. Bend R4 in a race where bend skill is the primary differentiator further undermines her case. The T6 draw at 415m is also not advantageous — the track profile explicitly warns against defaulting to T6 at this trip. The numbers simply don't support a case for Magic Belle here.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blue Gemstone | 40 | 97 | Closer |
3Nametab Anita | 53 | 78 | Closer |
4Jakes World | 61 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Munie Memories | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
6Old Fort Pele | 48 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.