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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Harriestown Kateb 4y 14 | P Ward — 15% R218 W33 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 60 | 61 (1) | 31 (6) | 23 (3) | 32 (5) | 30 (6) | 42 (3) | 30 (5) | 63 (1) | 39 (5) | 41 (4) | 32 | 29 | 25 | 21 | 46 | 38 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Bridevalley Pad 6y 13 | P Ward — 15% R218 W33 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 64 (5) | 26 (1) | 20 (2) | 41 (5) | 37 (4) | 49 (4) | 46 (2) | 36 (3) | 31 (5) | - | 41 | 39 | 41 | 39 | 48 | 44 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Maddox Roseb 2y 16 | D K Hurlock — 19% R930 W176 P509 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 47 | 38 (4) | 40 (6) | 62 (1) | 59 (1) | 30 (1) | 38 (4) | 40 (5) | 37 (5) | 61 (1) | 18 (5) | 22 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 32 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Brindle Bomberd 2y 25 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 17 (4) | 25 (1) | 17 (5) | 16 (6) | 22 (3) | 36 (4) | 20 (5) | 39 (6) | 42 (3) | - | 18 | 24 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 4 | 15/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Classic Lisab 5y 25 | J Pearson — 15% R205 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 86 | 49 (2) | 35 (4) | 44 (3) | 52 (3) | 44 (3) | 34 (5) | 39 (4) | 37 (4) | 20 (5) | 49 (3) | 53 | 44 | 40 | 29 | 39 | 42 | 3 | 5/4F | |
Three consecutive A7 wins at Harlow 415m — form of 62,62,62 from the last three C&D starts is as consistent as it gets. C&D 6r/3w/3p gives a 50% win rate and 100% place rate at this exact venue and distance — she has literally never been outside the top 3 here. Overall recent form of 49,46,32,62,62,62 shows the 32 was an off-day but the three consecutive 62s prove she is peaked at this combination. Closer (EP50) with Bend R2 (60) — the closing profile works at 415m on a tight circuit because the four bends allow inside-drawn dogs to save ground progressively. C&D is the primary signal here: at Harlow 415m where the model is weak (Comp R1 only 19.69% at A7), proven venue form is the best predictor. Speed R2 (52) is decent. Trainer at 20% is below threshold but irrelevant when the C&D record is this strong.
DANGER: Comp R1 with twin 61 peaks and decent C&D (33% win). Close behind Harriestown Kate but the C&D gap (33% vs 50% win, 50% vs 100% place) is decisive.
Peak of 63 is the highest in the field but form is too volatile (25 to 63 range) and T4 is the worst trap. Cannot be trusted.
Bend R1 (86) + Speed R1 (57) + best trap (T6) — looks perfect on paper. But 0 wins and 0 places from 6 C&D runs proves these advantages don't translate at Harlow 415m. The venue record trumps structural factors.
Volatile — can produce 59 or 22 with equal probability. Speed R5 is poor. A7 win shows ability but cannot be trusted to replicate.
C&D record of 6r/3w/3p (50% win, 100% place) is the dominant signal. Three consecutive A7 wins at this venue. Comp R1 at A7 is only 19.69% — the model is weak, making proven C&D form the primary factor.
T1:17.31%(416r) T2:17.62%(386r) T3:19.7%(401r) T4:16.59%(440r) T5:17.39%(345r) T6:21.95%(442r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Harriestown Kate | 50 | 55 | Closer |
2Bridevalley Pa | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Maddox Rose | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
4Brindle Bomber | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
6Classic Lisa | 85 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.