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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Headford Cooperd 2y 5 | J Pearson — 15% R201 W31 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 0 | 28 (4) | 30 (2) | 28 (5) | 32 (3) | 28 (3) | 60 (3) | 25 (2) | 46 (4) | 31 (5) | - | 38 | 51 | 17 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Opeld 2y 46 | J Pearson — 15% R201 W31 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 0 | 56 (2) | 26 (4) | 55 (3) | 29 (3) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 41 (5) | 57 (3) | 68 (1) | 38 (1) | 37 | 37 | 12 | 45 | 38 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cornerstone Ladd 4y 26 | P Ward — 16% R218 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 34 (1) | 28 (2) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 30 (2) | 23 (4) | 21 (4) | 23 (5) | 27 (4) | 36 (2) | 59 | 38 | 43 | 41 | 30 | 39 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Miami Diversityb 2y 17 | D K Hurlock — 19% R936 W178 P517 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 100 | 61 (1) | 46 (3) | 37 (4) | 60 (2) | 45 (4) | 58 (1) | 38 (1) | 30 (4) | 38 (1) | 31 (2) | 61 | 66 | - | 70 | 34 | 48 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Our Baby Beard 4y 35 | D K Hurlock — 19% R936 W178 P517 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 100 | 40 (5) | 54 (3) | 31 (3) | 55 (6) | 40 (1) | 30 (3) | 39 (1) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 50 (4) | 57 | 61 | 43 | 62 | 43 | 50 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
PICK. An exceptional combination of factors: Speed R1 (55, fastest in field), Bend R2, drawn in T6 (27.66% win rate — the dominant trap at Harlow 238m D3), and a massive class drop from A3 to D3. Peak performance of 66 came at A3 level — a grade where most of these D3 runners could never compete. C&D form of 2 wins and 2 places from 4 runs (50% win, 100% place rate) shows course mastery. Recent form at D3 includes a win (P1) and two P3 finishes before stepping up to A3 where he ran P4 and P2 — proving he belongs several grades higher. The Fader profile is irrelevant at 238m where the trip is too short for closing speed to matter. This is a class act in a weak field with the best speed, best trap, and highest suitability scores.
AvgP 41 with a peak of 60 from an A6 P2 run shows genuine class — this is a dog who has competed at a much higher level. C&D form of 2 wins and 2 places from 4 runs (50% win rate) is strong. However, Closer pace profile at a 238m sprint is a significant concern — there simply isn't enough track to close from behind. Speed R5 (38) is the slowest in the field, confirming the Closer profile. T2 draw at 19.59% is acceptable. The real issue is competing against a dog dropping from A3 — Headford Cooper's A6 peak is 3 grades below Our Baby Bear's recent form. Place chance at best.
Drawn in T3 which is the dead trap at Harlow 238m D3 — just 13.25% win rate from 249 runs. That alone makes this a very difficult assignment. AvgP 38 and peak 38 (no variation — flat performances) suggest a limited dog. C&D form of 1w/3p from 4 runs shows consistency in placing but recent form of D3(P2), D4(P2), D4(P1) is actually at a lower grade. The Closer pace profile at sprint distance compounds the trap disadvantage. Hard to make a case when the draw statistics are this poor.
The most experienced C&D runner with 6 runs but only 1 win and 2 places. AvgP 30 is the lowest in the field and the performance ratings (23,30,38,27,26,28) show limited ability. Trap suitability of 59 is the highest in the field and T4 carries 18.49% which is reasonable. Recent D3 form of P5, P2, P1, P5, P5, P3 is wildly inconsistent — two runs in the frame sandwiched by P5 finishes. Bend R5 is the worst in the field. Faces a significant class gap against the A3/A6 droppers.
DANGER. Bend R1 at Harlow 238m where Bend R1 converts at 23.5% overall — that's the primary factor according to the track profile. Phenomenal C&D record of 3 wins from 4 runs (75% win rate) confirms genuine course mastery. Speed R2 (52) provides adequate early pace. However, T5 carries just 16.23% win rate in D3 — the second-worst draw. The Fader pace profile is acceptable at 238m sprints (trip too short for fade). 1 trial in last 5 is noted but doesn't trigger the 3-trial elimination. If Our Baby Bear underperforms, Miami Diversity's C&D record makes her the most likely to capitalise.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 277m | 400m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Headford Cooper | 0.661 | — | — | 0.662 |
| 3 | Swift Opel | 0.663 | — | — | 0.654 |
| 4 | Cornerstone Lad | 0.662 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Miami Diversity | 0.655 | — | 0.618 | — |
| 6 | Our Baby Bear | 0.654 | 0.617 | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.