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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skirk Skyb 2y 18 | S A Saberton — 23% R391 W90 P251 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | - | 56 (3) | 64 (3) | 60 (2) | 50 (2) | 22 (3) | 26 (5) | - | - | - | - | 4 | 38 | - | - | 23 | 20 | 5 | 9/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Centre Lineb 3y 14 | J Pearson — 15% R208 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 47 | 44 (5) | 55 (4) | 72 (1) | 24 (4) | 56 (4) | 73 (1) | 53 (2) | 65 (1) | 62 (1) | 37 (4) | 29 | 37 | - | 19 | 47 | 39 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Browns Barbieb 2y 17 | P J R Steward — 19% R171 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 39 | 44 (5) | 49 (5) | 73 (4) | 53 (1) | 38 (4) | 68 (6) | 40 (1) | 49 (2) | - | - | 46 | 33 | 23 | 30 | 55 | 48 | 2 | 7/4F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Classic Turbod 4y 16 | J Pearson — 15% R208 W32 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 59 | 17 (6) | 47 (2) | 55 (2) | 38 (5) | 48 (4) | 62 (1) | 59 (2) | 37 (5) | 66 (1) | 31 (1) | 49 | 38 | - | 27 | 47 | 44 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Fenview Taylord 4y 18 | P J R Steward — 19% R171 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 49 | 65 (1) | 35 (5) | 38 (5) | 38 (4) | 41 (4) | 35 (4) | 47 (4) | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 45 (5) | 29 | 28 | 19 | 28 | 50 | 40 | 3 | 13/2 | ||
PICK. The combination that the data says wins most at Harlow 415m: Bend R1 + T5 draw (26.2% win rate, the best trap). Course & distance form of 2 wins and 3 places from 5 runs (60% place rate) confirms genuine aptitude for this specific configuration. Peak performance of 70 shows he has the class to compete at A6. Recent form includes two A7 wins and an A7 P2, suggesting he's finding form at the right time. While avgP of 47 is below Browns Barbie, the bend advantage at this track trumps raw performance — the 28.6% Bend R1 conversion rate is the highest in UK racing. The T5 outside draw provides a clean run to establish early position through the first bend.
ELIMINATED — trial contamination. Three of the last five races are T-grade trials (T3, T3, T1), which means the performance ratings and speed figures are unreliable for competitive analysis. The avgP of 23 is the weakest in the field even including the trial form. Speed rating of 100 is a data anomaly from sprint trial form that has no bearing on 415m competitive racing. Zero course & distance runs compounds the problem. Cannot be considered regardless of the T1 draw.
Solid course & distance record of 2 wins from 4 runs (50% win rate) demonstrates ability at this trip. The peak performance of 65 shows genuine class. However, T2 is the worst draw at Harlow 415m (18.8% win rate) which significantly undermines his chances. Closer pace profile is a concern at this tight track where bend position is everything. Recent form shows improvement (A7 P1, P1) before stepping up to A6. The trap draw is the main barrier — if drawn elsewhere he'd be a strong contender.
DANGER. Highest average performance in the field at 55 with consistent A6/A7 form (P2, P1, P3, P2, P4, P4). Course & distance form of 1w/3p from 6 runs shows she handles the trip. However — and this is critical at Harlow 415m — she has the WORST bend rating in the field at R5. At a track where Bend R1 converts at 28.6%, being the worst bender is a severe structural disadvantage. The Closer pace profile compounds this — she needs to come from behind through 4 tight bends where overtaking is extremely difficult. Raw class may bail her out occasionally but the data profile works against her here.
Zero wins and zero places from 6 course & distance runs is a damning record that overrides the decent avgP of 50 and Bend R2 ranking. Six runs at this exact configuration without a single place finish suggests a fundamental issue — perhaps the tight circuit doesn't suit despite reasonable bend numbers. The T6 draw at 415m is not advantageous either (the track profile warns against defaulting to T6 at this trip). Recent form is all A6 mid-pack finishes (P5, P3, P4, P3, P3, P6). Hard to make a case when the C&D evidence is this poor.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skirk Sky | — | — | No data |
2Centre Line | 34 | 66 | Closer |
3Browns Barbie | 46 | 60 | Closer |
5Classic Turbo | 64 | 23 | Fader |
6Fenview Taylor | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.