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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyquinsheldond 2y 15 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 14 (6) | 18 (6) | 30 (1) | 30 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 27 (2) | 16 (6) | 23 (4) | 22 | 31 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Direct Luked 4y 16 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 33 (1) | 24 (3) | 16 (5) | 20 (6) | 26 (4) | 24 (5) | 32 (3) | 42 (1) | 33 (4) | 39 (2) | 51 | 31 | - | 27 | 29 | 33 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Greencroft Ricod 2y 15 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 28 (2) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 26 (3) | 28 (3) | 20 (5) | 17 (6) | 24 (4) | 32 (2) | 21 (6) | 42 | 43 | 35 | 27 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Nellyb 5y 24 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (3) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (6) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 24 (3) | 16 (6) | 22 (4) | 48 | 45 | 44 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Oned 2y 5 | P A Braithwaite — 19% R53 W10 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (3) | 20 (4) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 24 (4) | 19 (5) | 27 (4) | 26 (3) | 19 (6) | 12 | 39 | 43 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Cragbrien Herod 2y 17 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 30 (4) | 31 (4) | 24 (6) | 36 (1) | 27 (2) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 26 (4) | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 12 | 13 | - | 5 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 15/8F | |
Narrowly leads the field on ratings and has the best speed figure in the race, which counts for plenty at a sprint distance. Direct Luke's recent form has been inconsistent — trialled last time out and showed a modest 19 on performance, but his average suggests better is in the locker. The trap suitability of 51 is comfortably the highest in the field from this box, and his course form shows he handles the venue. At a grade where small edges matter, the ratings advantage could prove decisive.
The structural pick from the dominant trap with the best suitability in the field. Genuine threat to the pick.
Moderate form and modest suitability. The draw is neutral and there's little to recommend her over the principals.
Structural draw advantage but recent form is poor. Needs a big step up that the data doesn't support.
Honest but limited. Low trap suitability undermines a structurally decent draw position.
Minimal Towcester experience and poor suitability. The widest draw at a sprint trip is an additional hurdle.
T4 is emphatically the dominant box at D4 270m, winning 27.1% from 388 runs — well above the 16.7% expected rate. T3 also performs well at 22.6%. The inside traps underperform relative to the Towcester 270m profile. Decent model separation with R1 at 24.2%.
T1:17.4% T2:19.5% T3:22.6% T4:27.1% T5:20.4% T6:17.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.