| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sapphire Wolfb 2y 25 | A Ioannou — 13% R89 W12 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 47 (2) | 52 (2) | 22 (4) | 45 (3) | 45 (2) | 33 (6) | 30 (5) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 52 (2) | 29 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 33 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Tunnelroadrunnerb 3y 6 | A Ioannou — 13% R89 W12 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 21 (2) | 23 (3) | 24 (2) | 20 (2) | 24 (3) | - | 25 | 20 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Pavilion Luveenb 2y 27 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 22 | 46 (4) | 58 (1) | 24 (3) | 18 (5) | 19 (4) | 21 (3) | 17 (6) | 16 (6) | 15 (6) | 41 (6) | 29 | - | - | - | 26 | 28 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Makeit Theab 2y 6 | F J Gray — 20% R350 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 29 (1) | 16 (5) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 16 (5) | 28 (1) | 24 (2) | 28 (1) | 62 | 45 | 51 | 43 | 22 | 36 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Hiya Carneirob 3y 7 | D Jeans — 12% R242 W30 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 19 (5) | 28 (1) | 21 (3) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 22 (4) | 19 (5) | 17 (5) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 40 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Carlow Townd 4y 48 | A Welch — 15% R313 W47 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (1) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 28 (1) | 26 (6) | 18 (6) | 24 (5) | 40 (4) | 18 | 31 | - | 8 | 30 | 25 | 2 | 5/1 | |
The class standout in this field by a considerable margin. Sapphire Wolf drops from A8 500m company where she ran a very smart 52 on performance when placed last time — a figure that dwarfs anything the rest of this D5 sprint field has achieved. She's a balanced All-Rounder with good early pace and enough tactical speed to be involved throughout. The concern is the draw: trap 1 wins just 13.3% at D5 270m, and her individual suitability at this course and distance is modest given she's been campaigned primarily at 500m. But the class gap is enormous — close to 15 points above the field average — and that kind of superiority can overcome structural disadvantages.
Best suitability in the field by far and proven winning form at this level. The principal danger to the class pick.
Honest and consistent but limited. Structural draw helps but can't bridge the class gap to the pick.
Terrible recent form, no venue experience, and a closing profile at a sprint trip. The strong trap draw can't save this one.
Drawn in the dead trap with moderate form. Would need things to break perfectly and that rarely happens from trap 5 at these conditions.
Class dropper with pace but dire recent form. The front-running style could see him lead briefly but fading looks inevitable.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 wins just 20.9% vs R3 at 19.0% (1.9pp gap). Small sample size (339 runs). T1 is structurally weak at 13.3% — a headwind for the pick. T3 and middle-to-outside traps perform better. Model offers almost no edge here.
T1:13.3% T2:21.7% T3:23.7% T4:16.7% T5:11.3% T6:21.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.