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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pagan And Chiefd 2y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R522 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 52 | 59 (3) | 33 (6) | 68 (1) | 57 (2) | 39 (4) | 63 (1) | 56 (2) | 54 (2) | 56 (2) | 51 (2) | 39 | 37 | 42 | 40 | 53 | 44 | 1 | 8/15F | |
| 2 | ▶ Runlike Skippyd 2y 8 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 55 | 53 (2) | 34 (5) | 45 (4) | 50 (3) | 61 (1) | 7 (5) | 41 (4) | 54 (2) | 56 (1) | - | 35 | 21 | 15 | 37 | 36 | 33 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Homebound Blankod 4y 27 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 14 (3) | 44 (3) | 44 (4) | 30 (6) | 32 (6) | 58 (2) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 37 (5) | 42 (5) | 37 | 13 | 34 | 19 | 37 | 28 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Happy Ever Afterb 5y 24 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 32 (6) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 42 (3) | 53 (2) | 36 (6) | 35 (6) | 49 (2) | 42 (5) | 67 (1) | 43 | 33 | 37 | 31 | 47 | 40 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Bikerd 4y 36 | D D Porter — 17% R522 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 33 | 44 (3) | 31 (5) | 59 (1) | 61 (5) | 51 (3) | 91 (1) | 44 (2) | 71 (2) | 37 (5) | 71 (2) | 28 | 47 | 36 | 21 | 59 | 41 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Loggies Bubblesb 3y 17 | S J Rayner — 18% R179 W33 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 66 | 33 (6) | 54 (3) | 45 (4) | 20 (6) | 40 (6) | 62 (2) | 65 (1) | 54 (6) | 45 (6) | - | 34 | 28 | - | 19 | 44 | 33 | 4 | 9/2 | |
The ratings pick by virtue of a 59 average performance that puts him comfortably clear of the field — a figure boosted by an excellent 72 last time when placed at S3 over the longer 712m trip. That staying form suggests he'll have no stamina concerns over 500m, and the closing profile should be well served if the pace is genuine up front. The concern is the suitability profile: modest scores across track, distance and trap all confirm a dog who hasn't spent much time at Towcester over this trip from this box. In a low-separation race with a completely flat trap distribution, the suitability question could be answered either way. The class edge is clear — whether it translates at an unfamiliar venue is the gamble.
Most consistent runner with the best speed. Four straight seconds suggest he's due a win — the main danger to the pick.
Dramatic distance step-up from sprints with a fading profile that will be cruelly exposed at 500m. High risk, low confidence.
Poor recent form, stepping up in distance with minimal venue experience. Hard to make a case.
Capable of a solid effort but too inconsistent to trust. Place chance in an open race.
Form on the slide with limited venue experience. A closing profile needs pace ahead and she lacks the class to capitalise.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 at 22.0% vs R3 at 17.3% (4.8pp gap). Extremely flat trap distribution with no trap above 20.5% — no meaningful draw advantage for anyone. This is a wide-open race where form and suitability may count for more than structure.
T1:17.5% T2:20.5% T3:18.6% T4:18.3% T5:19.7% T6:18.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pagan And Chief | 54 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Runlike Skippy | 66 | 0 | Fader |
3Homebound Blanko | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Happy Ever After | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Unknown Biker | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Loggies Bubbles | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.