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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballycowen Lilb 3y 46 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 97 (1) | 55 (3) | 93 (1) | 53 (4) | 52 (4) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 59 (5) | 71 (3) | 66 (3) | 35 | 32 | 40 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ El Prez Elsieb 2y 28 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 58 | 42 (5) | 42 (6) | 48 (5) | 55 (4) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 63 (4) | 68 (2) | 40 | 41 | 38 | 30 | 61 | 45 | 1 | 6/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Eagles Restb 4y 14 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 52 (4) | 61 (2) | 72 (5) | 60 (1) | 60 (2) | 57 (3) | 42 (2) | 55 (5) | 30 (5) | - | 45 | 51 | 39 | 20 | 48 | 42 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ardera Villed 2y 15 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 58 (3) | 47 (5) | 72 (2) | 65 (2) | 72 (1) | 60 (3) | 41 (6) | 56 (3) | - | - | 6 | 30 | 14 | 31 | 60 | 36 | 5 | 11/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Vinegarhill Blued 3y 27 | A Ioannou — 13% R89 W12 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 42 (4) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 68 (2) | 73 (1) | 63 (3) | 60 (3) | 63 (3) | 29 | 32 | 32 | 37 | 63 | 43 | 2 | 7/1 | |
Won well here last time with a commanding 73 performance — the highest recent figure in the field — and backs that up with consistent placing form of 1-3-3-3-5. Vinegarhill Blue is a balanced All-Rounder who should be involved throughout, and his race fitness looks sharp. The significant concern is the draw: trap 5 wins just 15.8% from 253 runs at these conditions, making it structurally disadvantaged. His trap suitability of 29 confirms he hasn't consistently overcome this positional headwind. Trainer Ioannou's 10% win rate is also below the awareness threshold. The ratings say he's the best dog in the race — but the structure works against him.
The form pick in the race with the strongest recent performance. Versatile running style and good venue form make her a serious threat.
Structural draw advantage in the dominant trap and decent closing form, but individual trap history is poor. Intriguing each-way option.
Structural rail advantage but very low suitability at this course and distance. The class drop helps but others are better suited.
Improved last time but not consistent enough to seriously threaten the principals. Place chance.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 at 23.0% vs R3 at 18.2% is a 4.8pp gap, just below the 5pp threshold. T4 and T1 are co-dominant. T5 structurally disadvantaged — a concern for the pick.
T1:22.8% T2:19.1% T3:17.7% T4:23.5% T5:15.8% T6:17.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballycowen Lil | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2El Prez Elsie | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
3Eagles Rest | 54 | 26 | All-Rounder |
4Ardera Ville | 33 | 100 | Closer |
5Vinegarhill Blue | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.