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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trumpers Derekd 2y 17 | N J Deas — 17% R456 W76 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 45 | 56 (4) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 43 | 46 | 45 | 53 | 65 | 52 | 2 | 9/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Reyb 1y 5 | L G Tuffin — 25% R277 W68 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 60 | 52 (3) | 74 (1) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 47 | 30 | 30 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Salacres Prodigyd 3y 13 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 47 | 69 (2) | 49 (5) | 56 (3) | 57 (3) | 51 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 61 (3) | 58 (4) | 29 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 59 | 44 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Martinib 1y | L G Tuffin — 25% R277 W68 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | 64 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 26 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Mistb 3yN/R 27 | H J Dimmock — 19% R180 W34 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 57 | 56 (3) | 47 (5) | 44 (6) | 64 (2) | 62 (3) | 53 (5) | 53 (4) | 63 (4) | 74 (2) | 69 (3) | 8 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 37 | - | - | ||
| 6 | ▶ Be More Ruthlessd 2y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R180 W34 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 50 | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 49 (5) | 73 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (4) | 77 (1) | 62 (4) | 50 (5) | 60 (3) | 26 | 33 | 27 | 26 | 63 | 49 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
Derek is the most consistent performer in today's field with a clear composite advantage and three recent A4 runs at Towcester producing a 2nd (P66), a 3rd (P58), and a 5th at A3 — one grade harder. His trajectory of P53→P58→P66 shows gentle improvement across A4-level races. His T1 trap suitability of 43, track suitability of 46 and distance suitability of 53 are all comfortably the best among the competitive runners. T1 carries 21.5% at Towcester 500m A4 — reasonable if not dominant — and composite R1 is a solid signal at 24.1% in a large 1,344-run dataset. While T4 has the strongest structural win rate (24.6%), that draw goes to the debutant Fabulous Martini who cannot be assessed. Derek's combination of improving trajectory, solid suitability across all dimensions, clear composite leadership, and consistent A4 form makes him the selection. Medium confidence reflects the competitive nature of the grade and the fact he has placed rather than won recently.
Danger — won A4 last time but trajectory looks like a one-off spike rather than sustained improvement
Consistent A4 runner from the weakest trap group — capable of placing but structural draw limits the ceiling
Debutant in the best structural trap — interesting trial form but cannot be trusted in A4 company first time out
Poor last run at this level and drawn in a weak structural trap — not confident despite prior A4 places
Class relief from A3 but declining form trajectory and below-average trap draw — each-way interest only
T4 dominates at A4 Towcester 500m with 24.6% from 244 runs. T3 and T5 are the weakest at 16.5% each. T1 is reasonable at 21.5%. Composite R1 is a solid signal at 24.1% — notable is the sharp drop to R2 at 14.6%, suggesting a strong first-pick advantage when the composite leader is reliable.
T1:21.5%(247r) T2:19.3%(233r) T3:16.5%(218r) T4:24.6%(244r) T5:16.5%(242r) T6:18.8%(160r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trumpers Derek | 43 | 65 | Closer |
2Fabulous Rey | 66 | 0 | Fader |
3Salacres Prodigy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Fabulous Martini | — | — | No data |
5Ballymac Mist | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Be More Ruthless | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.