Kirstie has been running at A5 — one grade tougher than today's contest — and has posted back-to-back 2nd place finishes (P66 and P55) before a 5th from a difficult draw. Dropping into A6 gives her a meaningful class advantage over most of this field. Her composite score heads the race comfortably, her track suitability at 47 and distance suitability at 44 are the best here, and her improving trajectory from the wider form is encouraging. While T6 is a moderate trap at this grade and distance, her overall profile on every meaningful signal — composite, track familiarity, class relief, form quality — points clearly to this being the one to beat. Speed R1 is the primary signal at A6 and she rates well on that measure too.