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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Choices Jessb 1y 16 | J M Liles — 19% R429 W82 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 23 (3) | 69 (2) | 25 (4) | 30 (2) | 20 (6) | 29 | 28 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Unknown Alphad 1y 4 | D D Porter — 17% R509 W89 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 25 (3) | 30 (3) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 22 (5) | 25 | 34 | 11 | 40 | 28 | 30 | 1 | 9/4JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Greencroft Blazeb 2y 17 | S J Rayner — 18% R176 W32 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 29 (2) | 27 (4) | 19 (6) | 28 (3) | 33 (2) | 30 (3) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 35 (1) | 31 (2) | 33 | 35 | 42 | 35 | 28 | 28 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Noirs Bonod 2y 16 | A Welch — 15% R296 W44 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | - | 26 (4) | 31 (3) | 35 (1) | 33 (3) | 28 (2) | 31 (4) | 26 (2) | 31 (5) | 75 (2) | - | 37 | 26 | 30 | 25 | 32 | 29 | 2 | 9/4JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Salacres Emmab 3y 6 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | 24 (2) | 24 (3) | 27 (2) | 20 | 27 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Herbertd 4y 14 | P H Harnden — 18% R394 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 32 (5) | 22 (1) | 22 (5) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 28 (6) | 21 (2) | 31 (3) | - | - | 21 | 18 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
Bono won a D3 sprint here on 29 April — the only runner in today's field with a recent win at exactly this grade and distance at Towcester — and carries the best trap suitability score of any runner in the race at 37. His most recent run was a 4th at D3 last time (16.55), which represents a modest step back from his winning run, but the D2 form (3rd at D2 on 6 May) suggests he can operate above D3 level. The trajectory from P31 through P35 to P33 is broadly stable. T4 is structurally moderate at 18.3% but his course knowledge and the recent grade win outweigh the trap disadvantage on balance. Confidence is Tentative given the compressed scoring across the field and T4's below-average structural position.
Danger — top composite in race, best structural trap at D3, a consistent placer but not a winner yet
Live contender — D4 winner from a good trap but yet to show that form at D3 consistently
Improving but not quite at the level of the top four — each-way chance at best
Below selection — honest D3 placer but T5 is a significant structural disadvantage at Towcester 270m
D4 winner stepping up in class from the worst trap — too many factors against him at D3
T1 and T2 dominate at D3 with 23.1% and 22.1% respectively. T5 and T6 are significantly weak at 14.0% and 13.0%. Composite R1 is a modest signal at 21.0%. Speed R1 at 22.7% is a slightly stronger leading indicator than composite for this grade and distance.
T1:23.1%(311r) T2:22.1%(393r) T3:20.3%(359r) T4:18.3%(393r) T5:14.0%(321r) T6:13.0%(239r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.