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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Remid 2y 16 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 55 | 63 (3) | 61 (2) | 38 (3) | 78 (1) | 68 (3) | 37 (2) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 55 (5) | 75 (2) | 34 | 38 | 23 | 43 | 55 | 42 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Deecee Gracieb 2y 25 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 39 | 46 (5) | 47 (1) | 40 (6) | 46 (1) | 43 (1) | 37 (2) | 60 (4) | 54 (5) | 81 (1) | 49 (6) | 38 | 45 | - | 30 | 48 | 34 | 5 | 5/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Dawnb 2y 24 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 51 | 84 (6) | 59 (1) | 82 (4) | 67 (1) | 78 (3) | 63 (1) | 65 (2) | 62 (2) | 55 (2) | - | 16 | 46 | 30 | 55 | 71 | 47 | 1 | 9/4F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Aghaburren Fused 4y 26 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 91 | 55 (5) | 85 (1) | 48 (5) | 81 (2) | 87 (1) | 62 (3) | 55 (5) | 82 (1) | 64 (2) | 82 (1) | 35 | 10 | 41 | - | 69 | 9 | 6 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Deelish Lucyb 4y 34 | D Cooper — 19% R73 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 50 | 35 (6) | 62 (3) | 67 (4) | 65 (4) | 47 (6) | 85 (1) | 59 (5) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 49 (6) | 27 | 41 | 19 | 32 | 64 | 44 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Swift Ecologyb 2y 17 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 44 | 75 (2) | 78 (2) | 66 (4) | 61 (4) | 84 (1) | 84 (1) | 56 (5) | 81 (1) | 56 (3) | 66 (3) | 38 | 37 | 34 | 36 | 69 | 46 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
Hazelgrove Dawn (avg=71, comp=47) is the Dog of the Day and the pick at Medium confidence — the highest-conviction selection on tonight's Kinsley card. Four factors converge in a single runner: the dominant form average of 71, the highest of any runner on tonight's programme across all 12 races; the best trap draw at A3 at T3=24.34%, also the highest trap win rate of any grade-trap combination on the card; a composite of 47 that reflects measured model confidence at this grade level; and a recent A3 win at this exact venue recorded in 27.99 seconds on May 10, a specific, grade-level, course win within the past week. At A3 where composite rank (21.94%) and speed rank (21.59%) both carry genuine predictive weight — the strongest rank signals available tonight — Hazelgrove Dawn's profile is the most complete analytical case of the evening.
Second-best form average (69) and compelling trial times (28.05 on May 11). Composite of 9 is the critical caveat — context switch from different distance or venue. Genuine danger if trials transfer.
Second-best draw at A3 (23.0%) with Robinson's strong trainer edge. Form gap to the pick (16 points) is the binding constraint in A3 company.
Below-average form and composite for A3 competition. Below-average draw. No compelling case against the dominant form runner.
Solid form (avg=64, comp=44) but drawn in A3's second-worst trap (13.3%). Form warrants watching when she draws better than T5.
Third-best average on the card (69) and strong composite (46), Robinson-trained. T6=10.7% is the worst structural position on tonight's programme. High-quality runner trapped in the worst draw.
T3 dominant at 24.3% — highest trap win rate of any grade on tonight's card. T6 dead draw at 10.7%. CompR1 21.9% and SpdR1 21.6% are the strongest rank signals available tonight. Four factors converge on Hazelgrove Dawn.
T1:23.0%(87) T2:17.7%(124) T3:24.3%(152) T4:16.8%(143) T5:13.3%(98) T6:10.7%(122)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Remi | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
2Deecee Gracie | 41 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Hazelgrove Dawn | 42 | 72 | Closer |
4Aghaburren Fuse | 87 | 0 | Fader |
5Deelish Lucy | 56 | 47 | Front Runner |
6Swift Ecology | 45 | 68 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.