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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tuxedo Twlightb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 31 | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 64 (1) | 34 (6) | 49 (3) | 60 (2) | 50 (2) | 50 (3) | 45 (4) | 30 (5) | 24 | 20 | 11 | 29 | 49 | 44 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Henryd 2y 16 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 47 | 57 (3) | 33 (1) | 26 (2) | 46 (4) | 64 (1) | 36 (6) | 58 (1) | 67 (2) | 28 (2) | 32 (1) | 42 | 34 | 12 | 30 | 46 | 43 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Jaguar Dettorid 3y 5 | J S Atkins — 14% R295 W42 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 53 | 37 (5) | 35 (6) | 57 (2) | 34 (6) | 50 (4) | 54 (2) | 68 (1) | 67 (2) | 57 (3) | 54 (3) | 33 | 33 | 26 | 36 | 54 | 45 | 2 | 11/4F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Meenagh Medinab 3y 5 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 47 | 25 (3) | 36 (5) | 41 (6) | 65 (1) | 72 (1) | 43 (4) | 43 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (4) | 64 (1) | 27 | 28 | 11 | 34 | 52 | 44 | 3 | 7/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Castlerock Cashd 1y 4 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 64 | 46 (3) | 42 (5) | 43 (5) | 36 (6) | 36 (5) | 54 (2) | 29 (3) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | - | 22 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 6 | 7/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Twoshookmend 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 56 | 30 (2) | 31 (3) | 58 (2) | 46 (4) | 64 (1) | 59 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 48 (3) | 38 (5) | 33 | 33 | 12 | 32 | 49 | 47 | 1 | 3/1 | ||
Tuxedo Twlight (avg=49, comp=44) is the pick at Tentative confidence. The structural case is unambiguous: T1 at A6 Kinsley 462m returns 21.7% of winners across 235 recorded runs — the most dominant single-trap signal on tonight's entire card at this grade. Tuxedo Twlight enters having won most recently in A7, demonstrating current race fitness and a trajectory moving upward through the grade ladder. An average of 49 is competitive for A6 company. Trainer W M Lyons is the dominant handler on tonight's card with the strongest volume of runners. The Closer pace profile at 462m would normally be a hesitation, but the T1 structural dominance at A6 specifically overrides that concern: the inside position at Kinsley rewards early rail access at this grade, and Tuxedo Twlight's recent winning form suggests the engine is there to exploit it.
Best average in the race (54), good draw at A6 (18.7%). Trainer concern (Atkins 6%) is the deciding factor — form warrants respect as the genuine danger.
Below-average draw and below-average form at A6. No compelling structural or form case for selection.
Average draw and competitive form but no standout factor to separate from the pack. Mid-field runner at current trajectory.
Dead draw at A6 (11.1%) and weakest form in the field. Two negative factors combine — no selection case regardless of trainer.
Highest composite in field and same yard as the pick. Composite edge at this grade is near-random. Watch — could surprise if T6 pace suits the back straight.
T1 dominant at 21.7% — strongest inside bias of any 462m grade. T5 dead draw at 11.1%. Complete reversal from A7 where T1 is worst. Composite near-random at 17.4%.
T1:21.7%(235) T2:16.4%(366) T3:18.7%(379) T4:17.7%(351) T5:11.1%(378) T6:17.0%(407)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tuxedo Twlight | 32 | 83 | Closer |
2Crystal Henry | 48 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Jaguar Dettori | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Meenagh Medina | 47 | 61 | Closer |
5Castlerock Cash | 61 | 19 | Fader |
6Twoshookmen | 56 | 40 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.