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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Niftyb 1y 15 | J G Hurst — 18% R273 W49 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 47 | 46 (5) | 44 (6) | 63 (2) | 54 (4) | 75 (1) | 43 (5) | 64 (3) | 57 (3) | 50 (5) | 75 (1) | 42 | 35 | 27 | 34 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 10/3 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Velardid 2y 27 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 56 | 43 (1) | 41 (5) | 33 (4) | 49 (3) | 56 (4) | 62 (3) | 68 (2) | 34 (6) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 39 | 35 | 37 | 28 | 53 | 46 | 4 | 5/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Swift Womanb 3y 17 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 45 | 75 (1) | 50 (4) | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 24 (5) | 74 (1) | 64 (3) | 52 (4) | 31 | 32 | 27 | 35 | 56 | 43 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ How Ya Fixedd 3y 15 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 48 | 32 (6) | 66 (2) | 42 (6) | 43 (5) | 63 (2) | 54 (4) | 48 (6) | 42 (6) | 76 (1) | 59 (4) | 39 | 24 | 37 | 19 | 51 | 38 | 6 | 7/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Swift Lochd 2y 16 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 49 | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 53 (5) | 50 (6) | 52 (5) | 76 (1) | 44 (6) | 53 (3) | 42 (5) | 61 (4) | 14 | 30 | 34 | 20 | 54 | 35 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Raise The Beatb 1y 16 | J G Hurst — 18% R273 W49 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 58 | 64 (2) | 61 (3) | 46 (6) | 36 (1) | 26 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 23 | - | - | 37 | 40 | 5 | 9/4F | ||
Velardi (avg=53) is the pick at Tentative confidence. T2 delivers 18.71% of A5 wins historically — second only to T3 in this grade at Kinsley — giving a meaningful structural advantage over the field average. Trainer J Robinson operates at a 26% win rate at this venue, the strongest trainer strike rate among tonight's connections. Velardi's fader pace profile suits the 462m configuration: staying off the early scrimmage and finishing down the straight rather than being caught in first-bend traffic. The form average of 53 is competitive within this field and the composite of 46 reflects consistent A5-level performance. The draw-and-trainer combination is the primary case here.
Best trap at A5 (21.6%) and solid form. Genuine danger — strongest structural position in the race and Lyons-trained.
Best form in the race but trapped in the statistical dead draw for A5. Draw overhead is too large to overcome at tentative confidence levels.
Below-average draw and mid-range form. No compelling case for selection in a field with stronger structural picks.
Decent form and strong trainer, but T5 is below par at A5 and Robinson's better hope draws from T2.
Weakest average in the field. Draw is adequate but form is not — no case for selection.
T3 dominant at 21.6%; T1 dead draw at 15.2%. Composite rank near-random at 17.5% — draw is the primary lens at this distance and grade.
T1:15.2%(257) T2:18.7%(310) T3:21.6%(334) T4:15.9%(334) T5:16.0%(362) T6:17.0%(395)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tommys Nifty | 39 | 67 | Closer |
2Velardi | 55 | 40 | Fader |
3Swift Woman | 45 | 66 | Closer |
4How Ya Fixed | 41 | 60 | Closer |
5Swift Loch | 82 | 0 | Fader |
6Raise The Beat | 57 | 38 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.