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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Popular Brunod 3y 5 | S Smith — 19% R68 W13 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 45 | 28 (6) | 32 (1) | 54 (3) | 28 (6) | 44 (5) | 34 (6) | 49 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (5) | 69 (1) | 20 | 29 | 24 | 17 | 44 | 44 | 3 | 2/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Thats So Trueb 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 56 | 48 (3) | 41 (4) | 41 (4) | 40 (6) | 63 (1) | 44 (2) | 29 (6) | 44 (3) | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 25 | 21 | 17 | 24 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 7/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Sporting Chicpeab 1y 6 | I Zivkovic — 14% R614 W85 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 55 | 23 (6) | 24 (4) | 28 (6) | 50 (3) | 35 (5) | 42 (5) | 59 (1) | 48 (2) | 30 (6) | 33 (5) | 28 | 27 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 6/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Got The Ballymacb 2y 5 | J S Atkins — 14% R295 W42 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 63 | 48 (3) | 56 (2) | 41 (5) | 31 (5) | 47 (4) | 58 (1) | 36 (5) | 40 (4) | 21 (4) | 24 (6) | 27 | 26 | - | 21 | 40 | 38 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Mid Tipp Scarb 1y 23 | S Smith — 19% R68 W13 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 43 | 41 (5) | 31 (6) | 42 (5) | 48 (2) | 63 (1) | 42 (4) | 46 (3) | 59 (1) | 20 (5) | 75 (1) | - | 38 | 20 | 23 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Aussie Fionnd 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 43 | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 38 (5) | 51 (2) | 44 (4) | 52 (3) | 51 (3) | 63 (1) | 46 (4) | 62 (1) | 28 | 27 | 26 | 32 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
Thats So True (avg=45, comp=44) is the pick at Speculative confidence as tonight's closing race. T2 returns 18.97% at A7 — the second-best draw available, in a grade where T3 and T2 lead the distribution. The composite of 44 is competitive within this compressed field. Prior analysis identified Thats So True as the speed leader in this race — carrying the best speed rating among the A7 runners — which aligns directly with the speed rank signal at A7 (18.81%, the most useful predictive metric at this grade). Active A7 form confirms the runner is engaged at this level of competition. The selection is Speculative because form differences are thin in a tight A7 field and this is the closing race of a long card where late-evening variability is a genuine factor.
Highest average (48) and composite (46) in the race, Lyons-trained. T6 draw is workable. Strong danger — the pick's speed rank and draw position are the marginal differentiators.
A7 dead draw (10.2%). Grade reversal from A6 — T1 is the worst position here by a significant margin. No selection case.
Best draw at A7 (20.2%) but weakest form and composite in the field. Structural advantage cannot compensate for this form gap.
Below-average draw and joint-weakest form average. Trainer concern adds to the caution. No selection basis.
Competitive form in a tight field but below-average draw at A7. No standout factor for selection over the structural picks.
T1 dead draw at 10.2% — complete reversal from A6 where T1 dominated at 21.7%. T3 best at 20.2%, T2 second at 19.0%. Speed R1 at 18.8% is the strongest rank signal. Form compressed 40-48.
T1:10.2%(167) T2:19.0%(232) T3:20.2%(277) T4:15.8%(279) T5:16.2%(297) T6:17.5%(286)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Popular Bruno | 46 | 60 | Closer |
2Thats So True | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
3Sporting Chicpea | 57 | 26 | Fader |
4Got The Ballymac | 55 | 25 | Fader |
5Mid Tipp Scar | 39 | 72 | Closer |
6Aussie Fionn | 45 | 66 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.