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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rapido Lolab 4y 34 | J S Atkins — 14% R295 W42 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 47 | 60 (3) | 45 (5) | 43 (5) | 69 (3) | 55 (4) | 80 (1) | 70 (3) | 56 (3) | 63 (3) | 66 (3) | 24 | 24 | 28 | 25 | 63 | 33 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Grovenor Albied 2y 28 | B Heaton — 15% R203 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 54 | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 52 (5) | 68 (2) | 58 (5) | 72 (2) | 69 (3) | 81 (1) | 56 (3) | 66 (2) | 38 | 44 | 34 | 37 | 63 | 47 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Thunder Runb 2y 15 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 56 | 54 (4) | 57 (4) | 80 (1) | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 76 (1) | 37 (1) | 23 (6) | 48 (4) | 58 (3) | 38 | 42 | 25 | 40 | 52 | 44 | 4 | 2/1F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Lightfoot Rosab 2y 9 | W M Lyons — 19% R1029 W200 P552 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 54 | 79 (1) | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 44 (6) | 66 (3) | 66 (2) | 48 (6) | 42 (5) | 59 (4) | 76 (1) | 35 | 31 | 22 | 30 | 60 | 47 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Betweenthe Linesb 3y 26 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W55 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 46 | 57 (4) | 59 (4) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 52 (4) | 62 (3) | 21 | 29 | 5 | 35 | 64 | 37 | 6 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Private Kevind 3y 24 | K J O'hara — 0% R5 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 41 | 48 (6) | 68 (3) | 27 (5) | 36 (2) | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 60 (3) | 66 (2) | 55 (5) | 62 (3) | 18 | 36 | 32 | 35 | 58 | 42 | 3 | 9/4 | ||
Thunder Run (avg=52, comp=44) is the pick at Medium confidence — the highest-conviction selection among tonight's 462m races. Three factors converge: drawn in the dominant trap for A4 (T3=20.92% from 282 recorded runs), recent winning form at this exact course and grade (won A4 at Kinsley on May 1 in a competitive 28.11), and a front-running pace profile that maximises the structural advantage of the best draw at 462m. Thunder Run's average of 52 is below the field leaders but course-specific winning form carries additional weight beyond what the average captures — a dog that has beaten A4 company at Kinsley within the past fortnight is performing at a level the average may understate. The most recent competitive run was affected by interference in a crowded race, documented as an excused performance. Trainer W M Lyons dominates tonight's card and this is identified as a live entry.
Joint-best average (63), solid composite (47), workable draw (17.4%). Strongest danger in the race — form edge may compensate for the 3.5-point draw differential.
Joint-best average in the race but trapped in A4's statistical graveyard at 12.4%. Ability is real — watch for when she draws better.
Solid form and decent draw but outpointed structurally and on specific course form. Third-tier consideration in this field.
Highest average in the race but T5 is near-dead at A4 (13.4%) and composite of 37 doesn't support the raw form figure. Robinson trainer edge noted but insufficient.
Competitive form and average draw. No standout factor distinguishes this runner in a field with a clear structural pick.
T3 dominant at 20.9%; T1 dead draw at 12.4% — worst draw at this distance. Speed R1 wins 19.2%. Thunder Run holds T3, course win at A4, front-running profile — three factors stack to Medium confidence.
T1:12.4%(202) T2:17.4%(281) T3:20.9%(282) T4:18.1%(293) T5:13.4%(284) T6:16.2%(333)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rapido Lola | 49 | 68 | Closer |
2Grovenor Albie | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
3Thunder Run | 56 | 45 | Front Runner |
4Lightfoot Rosa | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
5Betweenthe Lines | 46 | 61 | Closer |
6Private Kevin | 45 | 48 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.