The form pick and the draw pick rolled into one. Highest average performance in the field at 68, best speed rating at 64, and he lands the golden trap four which converts at 23.5% — the hottest box at A2 grade. His closing style is perfectly tailored for 491 metres at Central Park, where late runners consistently outperform front-runners through the stamina-sapping final 100 metres. Form of 51-68-70-76-69-85 is on a superb upward trajectory with a peak of 85 that puts him a full 17 points clear of most rivals' best. Returns from a 25-day break, which is a mild freshness concern but well within normal parameters. Trainer Andreas at 20% is reliable. When the best form runner draws the best box at a track where closers dominate, the case makes itself. He should sit behind the early-pace duel between Getup Me Champ and Bumpy Cuckoo, swing wide off the final bend, and power through for a decisive victory.