Dominates this field on every key sprint metric. Maximum first-bend rating of 100 and maximum early-pace rating of 100 mean he should ping the lids, fly through the first turn, and be clear before the others have found their stride. Speed figure of 58 is the best in the race by a clear margin, and average performance of 39 puts him well ahead of most rivals. Form of 32-33-33-24-32-58 shows a dramatic improvement in the most recent run to 58 — a career-best that suggests the penny has dropped. The fading profile is the one concern, as he'll need to sustain his advantage through the second half of the race, but with this level of early-pace superiority he should have enough in reserve. Trap one is mid-range at D3 but his break speed makes the draw almost irrelevant. If he reproduces anywhere near that 58, this is a formality.