The talking horse of the race — a dog whose recent form includes performances of 84, 69, 62, and 52 in A1 and A2 company, now dropping to D2 grade. That is an absolutely massive class plunge. His average performance of 64 is nearly double what most of his rivals can muster, and his peak of 84 would blow this field apart by a margin that barely needs quantifying. The closing style is the one concern over 277 metres — he won't break fast and will need to make up ground — but his sheer superiority in class terms should compensate for any early position disadvantage. He can afford to give these rivals three or four lengths at the first bend and still win comfortably. Returns from a 59-day layoff since March 31st, which is a legitimate fitness concern, but even at 70% capacity he should be too good for a field whose best performers peak in the 40s and 50s. Trainer Brabon at 30% adds further confidence. The class gap is simply too large.